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Program MAMO: Models for avian management optimization-user guide
Alban Guillaumet, Eben H. Paxton
2017, Technical Report TR-HCSU-077
The following chapters describe the structure and code of MAMO, and walk the reader through running the different components of the program with sample data. This manual should be used alongside a computer running R, so that the reader can copy and paste code into R, observe the output,...
Science advancements key to increasing management value of life stage monitoring networks for endangered Sacramento River winter-run Chinook salmon in California
Rachel C. Johnson, Sean Windell, Patricia L. Brandes, J. Louise Conrad, John Ferguson, Pascale A. L. Goertler, Brett N. Harvey, Joseph Heublein, Joshua A. Isreal, Daniel W. Kratville, Joseph E. Kirsch, Russell W. Perry, Joseph Pisciotto, William R. Poytress, Kevin Reece, Brycen G. Swart
2017, San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science (15) 1-41
A robust monitoring network that provides quantitative information about the status of imperiled species at key life stages and geographic locations over time is fundamental for sustainable management of fisheries resources. For anadromous species, management actions in one geographic domain can substantially affect abundance of subsequent life stages that span...
Influence of the megathrust earthquake cycle on upper-plate deformation in the Cascadia forearc of Washington State, USA
Jaime E. Delano, Colin B. Amos, John P. Loveless, Tammy M. Rittenour, Brian L. Sherrod, Lynch M. Emerson
2017, Geology (45) 1051-1054
The influence of subduction zone earthquake cycle processes on permanent forearc deformation is poorly understood. In the Cascadia subduction zone forearc of Washington State, USA, deformed and incised fluvial terraces serve as archives of longer-term (103–104 yr) strain manifest as both fluvial incision and...
Detection and characterization of pulses in broadband seismometers
David C. Wilson, Adam T. Ringler, Charles R. Hutt
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 1173-1180
Pulsing - caused either by mechanical or electrical glitches, or by microtilt local to a seismometer - can significantly compromise the long‐period noise performance of broadband seismometers. High‐fidelity long‐period recordings are needed for accurate calculation of quantities such as moment tensors, fault‐slip models, and normal‐mode measurements. Such pulses have long...
Model parameters for representative wetland plant functional groups
Amber S. Williams, James R. Kiniry, David M. Mushet, Loren M. Smith, Scott T. McMurry, Kelly Attebury, Megan Lang, Gregory W. McCarty, Jill A. Shaffer, William R. Effland, Mari-Vaughn V. Johnson
2017, Ecosphere (8) 1-14
Wetlands provide a wide variety of ecosystem services including water quality remediation, biodiversity refugia, groundwater recharge, and floodwater storage. Realistic estimation of ecosystem service benefits associated with wetlands requires reasonable simulation of the hydrology of each site and realistic simulation of the upland and wetland plant growth cycles. Objectives of...
Application of paleoecology to ecosystem restoration: A case study from south Florida’s estuaries
G. Lynn Wingard
Kaarina Weckstrom, Krystyna M. Saunders, Peter A. Gell, C. Gregory Skilbeck, editor(s)
2017, Book chapter, Applications of paleoenvironmental techniques in estuarine studies. Part of the Developments in Paleoenvironmental Research book series.
Paleoecological analyses of biotic assemblages from cores collected throughout south Florida’s estuaries indicate gradually increasing salinities over approximately the last 2000 years, consistent with rising sea level. Around the beginning of the twentieth century these gradual patterns of change began to shift, corresponding to the beginning of human alteration of...
Evaluating and improving count-based population inference: A case study from 31 years of monitoring Sandhill Cranes
Brian D. Gerber, William L. Kendall
2017, The Condor (119) 191-206
Monitoring animal populations can be difficult. Limited resources often force monitoring programs to rely on unadjusted or smoothed counts as an index of abundance. Smoothing counts is commonly done using a moving-average estimator to dampen sampling variation. These indices are commonly used to inform management decisions, although their reliability is...
Accounting for imperfect detection of groups and individuals when estimating abundance
Matthew J. Clement, Sarah J. Converse, J. Andrew Royle
2017, Ecology and Evolution (7) 7304-7310
If animals are independently detected during surveys, many methods exist for estimating animal abundance despite detection probabilities <1. Common estimators include double-observer models, distance sampling models and combined double-observer and distance sampling models (known as mark-recapture-distance-sampling models; MRDS). When animals reside in groups, however, the assumption of independent detection is...
Are exposure predictions, used for the prioritization of pharmaceuticals in the environment, fit for purpose?
Emily E. Burns, Jane Thomas-Oates, Dana W. Kolpin, Edward T. Furlong, Alistair B.A. Boxall
2017, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (36) 2823-2832
Prioritization methodologies are often used for identifying those pharmaceuticals that pose the greatest risk to the natural environment and to focus laboratory testing or environmental monitoring toward pharmaceuticals of greatest concern. Risk-based prioritization approaches, employing models to derive exposure concentrations, are commonly used, but the reliability of these models is...
Prey partitioning and use of insects by juvenile sockeye salmon and a potential competitor, threespine stickleback, in Afognak Lake, Alaska
Natura Richardson, Anne H. Beaudreau, Mark S. Wipfli, Heather Finkle
2017, Ecology of Freshwater Fish (26) 586-601
Freshwater growth of juvenile sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) depends upon the quality and quantity of prey and interactions with potential competitors in the foraging environment. To a large extent, knowledge about the ecology of lake-rearing juvenile sockeye salmon has emerged from studies of commercially important runs returning to deep nursery...
Shifts in an invasive rodent community favoring black rats (Rattus rattus) following restoration of native forest
Aaron B. Shiels, Arthur C. Medeiros, Erica I. von Allmen
2017, Restoration Ecology (25) 759-767
One potential, unintended ecological consequence accompanying forest restoration is a shift in invasive animal populations, potentially impacting conservation targets. Eighteen years after initial restoration (ungulate exclusion, invasive plant control, and out planting native species) at a 4 ha site on Maui, Hawai'i, we compared invasive rodent communities in a restored native...
Challenges and solutions for applying the travel cost demand model to geographically remote visitor destinations: A case study of bear viewing at Katmai National Park and Preserve
Leslie Richardson, Christopher Huber, John B. Loomis
2017, Human Dimensions of Wildlife (22) 550-563
Remote and unique destinations present difficulties when attempting to construct traditional travel cost models to value recreation demand. The biggest limitation comes from the lack of variation in the dependent variable, defined as the number of trips taken over a set time frame. There are various approaches that can be...
Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios
Jianhong E. Mu, Benjamin M. Sleeter, John T. Abatzoglou, John M. Antle
2017, Climatic Change (144) 329-345
We examine the impacts of climate on net returns from crop and livestock production and the resulting impact on land-use change across the contiguous USA. We first estimate an econometric model to project effects of weather fluctuations on crop and livestock net returns and then use a semi-reduced form land-use...
Role of a naturally varying flow regime in Everglades restoration
Judson Harvey, Paul R. Wetzel, Thomas E. Lodge, Victor C. Engel, Michael S. Ross
2017, Restoration Ecology (25) S27-S38
The Everglades is a low-gradient floodplain predominantly on organic soil that undergoes seasonally pulsing sheetflow through a network of deepwater sloughs separated by slightly higher elevation ridges. The seasonally pulsing flow permitted the coexistence of ridge and slough vegetation, including the persistence of productive, well-connected sloughs that seasonally concentrated prey...
Large-scale modeled contemporary and future water temperature estimates for 10774 Midwestern U.S. Lakes
Luke A. Winslow, Gretchen J. A. Hansen, Jordan S. Read, Michael Notaro
2017, Scientific Data (4) 1-11
Climate change has already influenced lake temperatures globally, but understanding future change is challenging. The response of lakes to changing climate drivers is complex due to the nature of lake-atmosphere coupling, ice cover, and stratification. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers insight...
Harvesting wildlife affected by climate change: a modelling and management approach for polar bears
Eric V. Regehr, Ryan H. Wilson, Karyn D. Rode, Michael C. Runge, Harry Stern
2017, Journal of Applied Ecology (54) 1534-1543
The conservation of many wildlife species requires understanding the demographic effects of climate change, including interactions between climate change and harvest, which can provide cultural, nutritional or economic value to humans.We present a demographic model that is based on the polar bear Ursus maritimus life cycle and includes density-dependent...
Network analysis of a regional fishery: Implications for management of natural resources, and recruitment and retention of anglers
Dustin R. Martin, Daizaburo Shizuka, Christopher J. Chizinski, Kevin L. Pope
2017, Fisheries Research (194) 31-41
Angler groups and water-body types interact to create a complex social-ecological system. Network analysis could inform detailed mechanistic models on, and provide managers better information about, basic patterns of fishing activity. Differences in behavior and reservoir selection among angler groups in a regional fishery, the Salt Valley fishery in southeastern...
Environmental conditions and prey-switching by a seabird predator impact juvenile salmon survival
Brian K. Wells, Jarrod A. Santora, Mark J. Henderson, Peter Warzybok, Jaime Jahncke, Russell W. Bradley, David D. Huff, Isaac D. Schroeder, Peter Nelson, John C. Field, David G. Ainley
2017, Journal of Marine Systems (174) 54-63
Due to spatio-temporal variability of lower trophic-level productivity along the California Current Ecosystem (CCE), predators must be capable of switching prey or foraging areas in response to changes in environmental conditions and available forage. The Gulf of the Farallones in central California represents a biodiversity hotspot and contains the largest...
Ecological impacts of winter water level drawdowns on lake littoral zones: A review
Allison H. Roy
2017, Aquatic Sciences (79) 803-824
Freshwater littoral zones harbor diverse ecological communities and serve numerous ecosystem functions that are controlled, in part, by natural water level fluctuations. However, human alteration of lake hydrologic regimes beyond natural fluctuations threaten littoral zone ecological integrity. One type of hydrologic alteration in lakes is winter water level drawdowns, which...
Age, year‐class strength variability, and partial age validation of Kiyis from Lake Superior
Taylor A. Lepak, Derek H. Ogle, Mark R. Vinson
2017, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (37) 1151-1160
ge estimates of Lake Superior Kiyis Coregonus kiyi from scales and otoliths were compared and 12 years (2003–2014) of length frequency data were examined to assess year‐class strength and validate age estimates. Ages estimated from otoliths were precise and were consistently older than ages estimated from scales. Maximum otolith‐derived ages were 20...
Optimal control of an invasive species using a reaction-diffusion model and linear programming
Mathieu Bonneau, Fred A. Johnson, Brian J. Smith, Christina M. Romagosa, Julien Martin, Frank J. Mazzotti
2017, Ecosphere (8) 1-17
Managing an invasive species is particularly challenging as little is generally known about the species’ biological characteristics in its new habitat. In practice, removal of individuals often starts before the species is studied to provide the information that will later improve control. Therefore, the locations and the amount of control...
A fault‐based model for crustal deformation in the western United States based on a combined inversion of GPS and geologic inputs
Yuehua Zeng, Zheng-Kang Shen
2017, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (107) 2597-2612
We develop a crustal deformation model to determine fault‐slip rates for the western United States (WUS) using the Zeng and Shen (2014) method that is based on a combined inversion of Global Positioning System (GPS) velocities and geological slip‐rate constraints. The model consists of six blocks with...
Development of a foraging model framework to reliably estimate daily food consumption by young fishes
David Deslauriers, Alex J. Rosburg, Steven R. Chipps
2017, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (74) 1668-1681
We developed a foraging model for young fishes that incorporates handling and digestion rate to estimate daily food consumption. Feeding trials were used to quantify functional feeding response, satiation, and gut evacuation rate. Once parameterized, the foraging model was then applied to evaluate effects of prey type, prey density, water...
Extreme precipitation variability, forage quality and large herbivore diet selection in arid environments
James W. Cain III, Jay V. Gedir, Jason P. Marshal, Paul R. Krausman, Jamison D. Allen, Glenn C. Duff, Brian Jansen, John R. Morgart
2017, Oikos (126) 1459-1471
Nutritional ecology forms the interface between environmental variability and large herbivore behaviour, life history characteristics, and population dynamics. Forage conditions in arid and semi-arid regions are driven by unpredictable spatial and temporal patterns in rainfall. Diet selection by herbivores should be directed towards overcoming the most pressing nutritional limitation (i.e....
Estimating Mudpuppy (Necturus maculosus) abundance in the Lamoille River, Vermont, USA
Isaac C. Chellman, Donna L. Parrish, Therese M. Donovan
2017, Herpetological Conservation and Biology (12) 422-434
The Mudpuppy (Necturus maculosus) is classified as a Species of Greatest Conservation Need by the state of Vermont. There is concern regarding status of populations in the Lake Champlain basin because of habitat alteration and potential effects of 3-trifluromethyl-4-nitrophenol (TFM), a chemical used to control Sea Lamprey (Petromyzon marinus). The...