W(h)ither the Oracle? Cognitive biases and other human challenges of integrated environmental modeling
Pierre D. Glynn
D.P. Ames, N. W. T. Quinn, A.E. Rizzoli, editor(s)
2014, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 7th International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, June 15-19, San Diego, California, USA
Integrated environmental modeling (IEM) can organize and increase our knowledge of the complex, dynamic ecosystems that house our natural resources and control the quality of our environments. Human behavior, however, must be taken into account. Human biases/heuristics reflect adaptation over our evolutionary past to frequently experienced situations that affected our...
Males exceed females in PCB concentrations of cisco (Coregonus artedi) from Lake Superior
Charles P. Madenjian, Daniel L. Yule, Sergei M. Chernyak, Linda J. Begnoche, Eric K. Berglund, Edmund J. Isaac
2014, Science of the Total Environment (493) 377-383
We determined whole-fish polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) concentrations of 25 male and 25 female age-7 ciscoes (Coregonus artedi) captured from a spawning aggregation in Thunder Bay, Lake Superior, during November 2010. We also determined PCB concentrations in the ovaries and somatic tissue of five additional female ciscoes (ages 5–22). All 55...
Coastal geology and recent origins for Sand Point, Lake Superior
Timothy G. Fisher, David E. Krantz, Mario R. Castaneda, Walter L. Loope, Harry M. Jol, Ronald J. Goble, Melinda C. Higley, Samantha DeWald, Paul Hansen
2014, GSA Special Papers (508) 85-110
Sand Point is a small cuspate foreland located along the southeastern shore of Lake Superior within Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore near Munising, Michigan. Park managers’ concerns for the integrity of historic buildings at the northern periphery of the point during the rising lake levels in the mid-1980s greatly elevated the...
Spatially explicit habitat models for 28 fishes from the Upper Mississippi River System (AHAG 2.0)
Brian S. Ickes, J.S. Sauer, N. Richards, M. Bowler, B. Schlifer
2014, Long Term Resource Monitoring Program Technical Report 2014-T002
Environmental management actions in the Upper Mississippi River System (UMRS) typically require pre-project assessments of predicted benefits under a range of project scenarios. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) now requires certified and peer-reviewed models to conduct these assessments. Previously, habitat benefits were estimated for fish communities...
Evaluation of the behavior and movement of adult summer steelhead in the lower Cowlitz River, Washington, following collection and release, 2013-2014
Tobias J. Kock, Theresa L. Liedtke, Brian K. Ekstrom, Chris Gleizes, Wolf Dammers
2014, Open-File Report 2014-1122
Summer steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) produced by a hatchery on the lower Cowlitz River, Washington, support a popular sport fishery during June–September each year. Many of these fish return to the Cowlitz Salmon Hatchery and are held until they are spawned in December. In the past, fishery managers have released some...
Water quality and algal community dynamics of three deepwater lakes in Minnesota utilizing CE-QUAL-W2 models
Erik A. Smith, Richard L. Kiesling, Joel M. Galloway, Jeffrey R. Ziegeweid
2014, Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5066
Water quality, habitat, and fish in Minnesota lakes will potentially be facing substantial levels of stress in the coming decades primarily because of two stressors: (1) land-use change (urban and agricultural) and (2) climate change. Several regional and statewide lake modeling studies have identified the potential linkages between land-use and...
Particle-tracking investigation of the retention of sucker larvae emerging from spawning grounds in Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon
Tamara M. Wood, Susan A. Wherry, David C. Simon, Douglas F. Markle
2014, Open-File Report 2014-1061
This study had two objectives: (1) to use the results of an individual-based particle-tracking model of larval sucker dispersal through the Williamson River delta and Upper Klamath Lake, Oregon, to interpret field data collected throughout Upper Klamath and Agency Lakes, and (2) to use the model to investigate the retention...
Spatial variability in nutrient transport by HUC8, state, and subbasin based on Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin SPARROW models
Dale M. Robertson, David A. Saad, Gregory E. Schwarz
2014, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (50) 988-1009
Nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) loading from the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB) has been linked to hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. With geospatial datasets for 2002, including inputs from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs), and monitored loads throughout the MARB, SPAtially Referenced Regression On Watershed attributes (SPARROW) watershed models were...
Effects of lakes and reservoirs on annual river nitrogen, phosphorus, and sediment export in agricultural and forested landscapes
Stephen M. Powers, Dale M. Robertson, Emily H. Stanley
2014, Hydrological Processes (28) 5919-5937
Recently, effects of lakes and reservoirs on river nutrient export have been incorporated into landscape biogeochemical models. Because annual export varies with precipitation, there is a need to examine the biogeochemical role of lakes and reservoirs over time frames that incorporate interannual variability in precipitation. We examined long-term (~20 years) time...
Testing for multiple invasion routes and source populations for the invasive brown treesnake (Boiga irregularis) on Guam: implications for pest management
Jonathan Q. Richmond, Dustin A. Wood, James W. Stanford, Robert N. Fisher
2014, Biological Invasions
The brown treesnake (Boiga irregularis) population on the Pacific island of Guam has reached iconic status as one of the most destructive invasive species of modern times, yet no published works have used genetic data to identify a source population. We used DNA sequence data from multiple genetic markers and...
Gully annealing by aeolian sediment: field and remote-sensing investigation of aeolian-hillslope-fluvial interactions, Colorado River corridor, Arizona, USA
Joel B. Sankey, Amy E. Draut
2014, Geomorphology (220) 68-80
Processes contributing to development of ephemeral gully channels are of great importance to landscapes worldwide, and particularly in dryland regions where soil loss and land degradation from gully erosion pose long-term land-management problems. Whereas gully formation has been relatively well studied, much less is known of the processes that anneal...
The 3D Elevation Program: summary for Oklahoma
William J. Carswell Jr.
2014, Fact Sheet 2014-3053
Elevation data are essential to a broad range of applications, including forest resources management, wildlife and habitat management, national security, recreation, and many others. For the State of Oklahoma, elevation data are critical for flood risk management, infrastructure and construction management, agriculture and precision farming, natural resources conservation, wildlife and...
Modeling low-temperature geochemical processes:
D. Kirk Nordstrom, Kate M. Campbell
2014, Book chapter, Reference module in earth systems and environmental sciences: Treatise on geochemistry
This chapter provides an overview of geochemical modeling that applies to water–rock interactions under ambient conditions of temperature and pressure. Topics include modeling definitions, historical background, issues of activity coefficients, popular codes and databases, examples of modeling common types of water–rock interactions, and issues of model reliability. Examples include speciation,...
Performance of a surface bypass structure to enhance juvenile steelhead passage and survival at Lower Granite Dam, Washington
Noah S. Adams, John M. Plumb, Russell W. Perry, Dennis W. Rondorf
2014, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (34) 576-594
An integral part of efforts to recover stocks of Pacific salmon Oncorhynchus spp. and steelhead O. mykiss in Pacific Northwest rivers is to increase passage efficacy and survival of juveniles past hydroelectric dams. As part of this effort, we evaluated the efficacy of a prototype surface bypass structure, the removable spillway weir (RSW), installed...
The response of stream periphyton to Pacific salmon: using a model to understand the role of environmental context
J. Ryan Bellmore, Alexander K. Fremier, Francine Mejia, Michael Newsom
2014, Freshwater Biology (59) 1437-1451
1. In stream ecosystems, Pacific salmon deliver subsidies of marine-derived nutrients and disturb the stream bed during spawning. The net effect of this nutrient subsidy and physical disturbance on biological communities can be hard to predict and is likely to be mediated by environmental conditions. For periphyton, empirical studies have...
Mapping mountain pine beetle mortality through growth trend analysis of time-series landsat data
Lu Liang, Yanlei Chen, Todd Hawbaker, Zhi-Liang Zhu, Peng Gong
2014, Remote Sensing (6) 5696-5716
Disturbances are key processes in the carbon cycle of forests and other ecosystems. In recent decades, mountain pine beetle (MPB; Dendroctonus ponderosae) outbreaks have become more frequent and extensive in western North America. Remote sensing has the ability to fill the data gaps of long-term infestation monitoring, but the elimination...
Simulation of the effects of rainfall and groundwater use on historical lake water levels, groundwater levels, and spring flows in central Florida
Andrew M. O’Reilly, Edwin A. Roehl Jr., Paul Conrads, Ruby C. Daamen, Matthew D. Petkewich
2014, Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5032
The urbanization of central Florida has progressed substantially in recent decades, and the total population in Lake, Orange, Osceola, Polk, and Seminole Counties more than quadrupled from 1960 to 2010. The Floridan aquifer system is the primary source of water for potable, industrial, and agricultural purposes in central Florida. Despite...
PAH concentrations in lake sediment decline following ban on coal-tar-based pavement sealants in Austin, Texas
Peter C. Van Metre, Barbara Mahler
2014, Environmental Science & Technology (48) 7222-7228
Recent studies have concluded that coal-tar-based pavement sealants are a major source of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in urban settings in large parts of the United States. In 2006, Austin, TX, became the first jurisdiction in the U.S. to ban the use of coal-tar sealants. We evaluated the effect of...
Reproductive ecology of lampreys
Nicholas S. Johnson, Tyler J. Buchinger, Weiming Li
2014, Book chapter, Lampreys: Biology, Conservation and Control
Lampreys typically spawn in riffle habitats during the spring. Spawning activity and diel (i.e., during daylight and at night) behavioral patterns are initiated when spring water temperatures increase to levels that coincide with optimal embryologic development. Nests are constructed in gravel substrate using the oral disc to move stones and...
Variability common to global sea surface temperatures and runoff in the conterminous United States
Gregory J. McCabe, David M. Wolock
2014, Journal of Hydrometeorology (15) 714-725
Singular value decomposition (SVD) is used to identify the variability common to global sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and water-balance-modeled water-year (WY) runoff in the conterminous United States (CONUS) for the 1900–2012 period. Two modes were identified from the SVD analysis; the two modes explain 25% of the variability in WY...
Analysis of induced seismicity in geothermal reservoirs – An overview
Arno Zang, Volker Oye, Philippe Jousset, Nicholas Deichmann, Roland Gritto, Arthur F. McGarr, Ernest Majer, David Bruhn
2014, Geothermics (52) 6-21
In this overview we report results of analysing induced seismicity in geothermal reservoirs in various tectonic settings within the framework of the European Geothermal Engineering Integrating Mitigation of Induced Seismicity in Reservoirs (GEISER) project. In the reconnaissance phase of a field, the subsurface fault mapping, in situ stress and the seismic network are of primary...
Conceptual model of the uppermost principal aquifer systems in the Williston and Powder River structural basins, United States and Canada
Andrew J. Long, Katherine R. Aurand, Jennifer M. Bednar, Kyle W. Davis, Jonathan D.R.G. McKaskey, Joanna N. Thamke
2014, Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5055
The three uppermost principal aquifer systems of the Northern Great Plains—the glacial, lower Tertiary, and Upper Cretaceous aquifer systems—are described in this report and provide water for irrigation, mining, public and domestic supply, livestock, and industrial uses. These aquifer systems primarily are present in two nationally important fossil-fuelproducing areas: the...
Hydrogeologic framework of the uppermost principal aquifer systems in the Williston and Powder River structural basins, United States and Canada
Joanna N. Thamke, Gary D. LeCain, Derek W. Ryter, Roy Sando, Andrew J. Long
2014, Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5047
The glacial, lower Tertiary, and Upper Cretaceous aquifer systems in the Williston and Powder River structural basins within the United States and Canada are the uppermost principal aquifer systems and most accessible sources of groundwater for these energy-producing basins. The glacial aquifer system covers the northeastern part of the Williston...
Gas hydrate identified in sand-rich inferred sedimentary section using downhole logging and seismic data in Shenhu area, South China Sea
Xiujuan Wang, Myung W. Lee, Timothy S. Collett, Shengxiong Yang, Yiqun Guo, Shiguo Wu
2014, Marine and Petroleum Geology (51) 298-306
Downhole wireline log (DWL) data was acquired from eight drill sites during China's first gas hydrate drilling expedition (GMGS-1) in 2007. Initial analyses of the acquired well log data suggested that there were no significant gas hydrate occurrences at Site SH4. However, the re-examination of the DWL data from Site...
Modified expression for bulb-tracer depletion—Effect on argon dating standards
Robert J. Fleck, Andrew T. Calvert
2014, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (15) 1657-1662
40Ar/39Ar geochronology depends critically on well-calibrated standards, often traceable to first-principles K-Ar age calibrations using bulb-tracer systems. Tracer systems also provide precise standards for noble-gas studies and interlaboratory calibration. The exponential expression long used for calculating isotope tracer concentrations in K-Ar age dating and calibration of 40Ar/39Ar age standards may...