USGS Workshop: SEISMIC AND TSUNAMI HAZARD
IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
Colegio de Ingenieros y Agrimensores,
San Juan, March 23-24, 1999
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Executive Summary
The workshop, convened in San Juan on March
23-24, 1999, was "historic" in that it brought together
for the first time a broad spectrum of scientists, engineers, and
public and private sector officials who deal with such diverse
questions as tectonic models, probabilistic assessment of seismic
hazard, prediction of tsunami runup, strong ground motion,
building codes, stability of man-made structures, and the
publics preparedness for natural disasters. It was an
opportunity for all the participants to find out how their own
activity fit into the broad picture of science and how it aids
society in hazard assessment and mitigation. In addition, the
workshop was offered as a continuing education course at the
Colegio de Ingenieros y Agrimensores de Puerto Rico, which
assured a rapid dissemination of the results to the local
community. A news conference which took place during the workshop
alerted the public to the efforts of the USGS, other Federal
agencies, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, universities and the
private sector. During the first day of the workshop,
participants from universities, federal institutions, and
consulting firms in Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the
continental U.S., Dominican Republic, and Europe reviewed the
present state of knowledge
including a review and discussion of present plate models, recent
GPS and seismic reflection data, seismicity, paleoseismology, and
tsunamis. The state of earthquake/tsunami studies in Puerto Rico
was presented by several faculty members from the University of
Puerto Rico at Mayaguez. A preliminary seismic hazard map was
presented by the USGS and previous hazard maps and economic loss
assessments were considered. During the second day, the
participants divided into working groups and prepared specific
recommendations for future activities in the region along the six
following topics below. Highlights of these recommended
activities are: Marine geology and
geophysics Acquire deep-penetration seismic reflection
and refraction data, deploy temporary ocean bottom seismometer
arrays to record earthquakes, collect high-resolution multibeam
bathymetry and side scan sonar data of the region, and in
particular, the near shore region, and conduct focussed
high-resolution seismic studies around faults. Determine slip
rates of specific offshore faults. Assemble a GIS database for
available marine geological and geophysical data. Paleoseismology and
active faults - Field reconnaissance aimed at identifying
Quaternary faults and determining their paleoseismic chronology
and slip rates, as well as identifying and dating
paleoliquefaction features from large earthquakes. Quaternary
mapping of marine terraces, fluvial terraces and basins, beach
ridges, etc., to establish framework for understanding
neotectonic deformation of the island. Interpretation of aerial
photography to identify possible Quaternary faults. Earthquake seismology
Determine an empirical seismic attenuation function using
observations from local seismic networks and recently-installed
broad-band stations. Evaluate existing earthquake catalogs from
local networks and regional stations, complete the catalogs.
Transcribe the pre-1991 network data from 9-track tape onto more
stable archival media. Calibrate instruments of local networks.
Use GPS measurement to constrain deformation rates used in
seismic-hazard maps. Engineering Prepare
liquefaction susceptibility maps for the urban areas. Update and
improve databases for types of site conditions. Collect site
effect observations and near-surface geophysical measurements for
future local (urban-area) hazard maps. Expand the number of
instruments in the strong motion program. Develop fragility
curves for Puerto Rico construction types and details, and carry
out laboratory testing on selected types of mass-produced
construction. Consider tsunami design in shoreline construction
projects. Tsunami hazard -
Extract tsunami observations from archives and develop a
Caribbean historical tsunami database. Analyze prehistoric
tsunami deposits. Collect accurate, up-to-date, near-shore
topography and bathymetry for accurate inundation models. Prepare
tsunami flooding and evacuation maps. Establish a Caribbean
Tsunami Warning System for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.
Evaluate local, regional, national, and global seismic networks
and equipment, and their role in a tsunami warning system. Societal concerns
Prepare warning messages, protocols, and evacuation routes
for earthquake, tsunami, and landslide hazards for Puerto Rico
and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Advocate enforcement of existing
building codes. Prepare non-technical hazard assessment maps for
political and educational uses. Raise the awareness of
potentially affected populations by presentations at elementary
schools, by the production of a tsunami video, and by
distribution of earthquake preparedness manuals in newspaper
supplements. Promote partnerships at state and federal level for
long-term earthquake and tsunami hazard mitigation. This
partnership should also include the private sector such as the
insurance industry, telecommunication companies, and the
engineering community. The following reports of the
various working groups are the cumulative recommendations of the
community of scientists, engineers, and public officials, who
participated in the workshop. The list of participants and the workshops agenda are given in the
appendix. Acknowledgements: We thank the president
and staff of the Colegio de Ingenieros y Agrimensores de Puerto
Rico for graciously hosting this workshop and providing the
necessary logistical support, and Fernando Gomez and Milagroz
Ortiz of the USGS-WRD office in Guaynabo, Puerto Rico, and
Margaret Mons-Wengler of the USGS-Woods Hole Field Center for
help with the preparation of the workshop. The workshop was
funded by the USGS Coastal and Marine and Earthquake Hazards
Programs. Philipp Molzer and Kathryn Scanlon kindly reviewed an
earlier version of this report. Donna Newman and Jim Robb edited
the final web version. Back to Top of Page Workshop Home Page
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