Role of future reef growth on morphological response of coral reef islands to sea-level rise
Gerd Masselink, Robert T. McCall, Eddie Beetham, Paul Kench, Curt D. Storlazzi
2021, Journal of Geophysical Research--Earth Surface (126)
Coral reefs are widely recognised for providing a natural breakwater effect that modulates erosion and flooding hazards on low‐lying sedimentary reef islands. Increased water depth across reef platforms due sea‐level rise (SLR) can compromise this breakwater effect and enhance island exposure to these hazards, but reef accretion...
Which earthquake accounts matter?
Susan E. Hough, Stacey S. Martin
2021, Seismological Research Letters (92) 1069-1084
Earthquake observations contributed by human observers provide an invaluable source of information to investigate both historical and modern earthquakes. Commonly, the observers whose eyewitness accounts are available to scientists are a self‐selected minority of those who experience a given earthquake. As such these may not...
Age‐ and sex‐related dietary specialization facilitate seasonal resource partitioning in a migratory shorebird
Laurie Anne Hall, Susan E.W. De La Cruz, Isa Woo, Tomohiro Kuwae, John Y. Takekawa
2021, Ecology and Evolution (11) 1866-1876
Dietary specialization is common in animals and has important implications for individual fitness, inter‐ and intraspecific competition, and the adaptive potential of a species. Diet composition can be influenced by age‐ and sex‐related factors including an individual's morphology, social status, and acquired skills; however, specialization may only be necessary...
Using expert knowledge to support Endangered Species Act decision‐making for data‐deficient species
Daniel Bruce Fitzgerald, David R. Smith, David C. Culver, Daniel Feller, Daniel W. Fong, Jeff Hajenga, Matthew L. Niemiller, Daniel C. Nolfi, Wil D. Orndorff, Barbara Douglas, Kelly O. Maloney, John A. Young
2021, Conservation Biology (35) 1627-1638
Many questions relevant to conservation decision making are characterized by extreme uncertainty due to lack of empirical data and complexity of the underlying ecological processes, leading to a rapid increase in the use of structured protocols to elicit expert knowledge. Published ecological applications often employ a modified Delphi method, where...
Trends in precipitation chemistry across the U.S. 1985–2017: Quantifying the benefits from 30 years of Clean Air Act amendment regulation
Michael McHale, Amy Ludtke, Gregory A. Wetherbee, Douglas A. Burns, Mark A. Nilles, Jason S. Finkelstein
2021, Atmospheric Environment (247)
Acid rain was first recognized in the 1970s in North America and Europe as an atmospheric pollutant that was causing harm to ecosystems. In response, the U.S. Congress enacted Title IV of the Clean Air Act Amendments (CAA) in 1990 to reduce sulfur and nitrogen emissions from fossil fuel...
U.S. Geological Survey 21st-Century science strategy 2020–2030
U.S. Geological Survey
2021, Circular 1476
Today’s Earth system challenges are far more complex and urgent than those that existed in 1879 when the USGS was established. Society’s greatest challenges are directly or indirectly linked to major areas of USGS science. Increased pressures on natural resources continue with consequences for national security, food and water availability,...
Extensive frost weathering across unglaciated North America during the Last Glacial Maximum
Jill J Marshall, Joshua J. Roering, Alan W. Rempel, Sarah Shafer, Patrick J. Bartlein
2021, Geophysical Research Letters (48)
In unglaciated terrain, the imprint of past glacial periods is difficult to discern. The topographic signature of periglacial processes, such as solifluction lobes, may be erased or hidden by time and vegetation, and thus their import diminished. Belowground, periglacial weathering, particularly frost cracking, may have imparted a...
Migration of injected wastewater with high levels of ammonia in a saline aquifer in south Florida
Nicasio Sepulveda, Melinda A. Lohmann
2021, Groundwater (59) 597-613
Treated wastewater with high levels of ammonia has been injected, since March 1983 into the deep saline units of the Lower Floridan aquifer (LFA) from a treatment plant near the east coast of Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida. Monitoring wells in the plant recorded ammonia concentrations above ambient levels at...
Adaptive monitoring in action: Reconsidering design-based estimators reveals underestimation of whitebark pine disease prevalence in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem
Erin Shanahan, Wilson Wright, Kathryn Irvine
2021, Journal of Applied Ecology (58) 1079-1089
Identifying and understanding status and trends in ecological indicators motivates continual monitoring over decades. Many programs rely on probability surveys and their companion design-based estimators for status assessments (e.g. Horvitz–Thompson). Design-based estimators do not easily extend to trend estimation nor situations with observation errors. Field-based monitoring efforts inevitably have...
A geology and geodesy based model of dynamic earthquake rupture on the Rodgers Creek‐Hayward‐Calaveras Fault System, California
Ruth A. Harris, Michael Barall, David A. Lockner, Diane E. Moore, David A. Ponce, Russell Graymer, Gareth J. Funning, Carolyn A. Morrow, Christodoulos Kyriakopoulos, Donna Eberhart-Phillips
2021, JGR Solid Earth (126)
The Hayward fault in California's San Francisco Bay area produces large earthquakes, with the last occurring in 1868. We examine how physics‐based dynamic rupture modeling can be used to numerically simulate large earthquakes on not only the Hayward fault, but also its connected companions to the north and south, the...
Habitat features predict carrying capacity of a recovering marine carnivore
M. Tim Tinker, Julie L. Yee, Kristin L. Laidre, Brian B. Hatfield, Michael D. Harris, Joseph A. Tomoleoni, Tom W. Bell, Emily Saarman, Lilian P. Carswell, A. Keith Miles
2021, Journal of Wildlife Management (85) 303-323
The recovery of large carnivore species from over‐exploitation can have socioecological effects; thus, reliable estimates of potential abundance and distribution represent a valuable tool for developing management objectives and recovery criteria. For sea otters (Enhydra lutris), as with many apex predators, equilibrium abundance is not constant across space but rather...
Using grazing to manage herbaceous structure for a heterogeneity-dependent bird
John D. Kraft, David A. Haukos, Matthew R. Bain, Mindy B. Rice, Samantha Robinson, Dan S. Sullins, Christian A. Hagen, James Pitman, Joseph Lautenbach, Reid Plumb, Jonathan Lautenbach
2021, Journal of Wildlife Management (85) 354-368
Grazing management recommendations often sacrifice the intrinsic heterogeneity of grasslands by prescribing uniform grazing distributions through smaller pastures, increased stocking densities, and reduced grazing periods. The lack of patch-burn grazing in semi-arid landscapes of the western Great Plains in North America requires alternative grazing management strategies to create and maintain...
Seed production patterns of surviving Sierra Nevada conifers show minimal change following drought
Micah C. Wright, Phillip J. van Mantgem, Nathan L. Stephenson, Adrian Das, Jon Keeley
2021, Forest Ecology and Management (480)
Reproduction is a key component of ecological resilience in forest ecosystems, so understanding how seed production is influenced by extreme drought is key to understanding forest recovery trajectories. If trees respond to mortality-inducing drought by preferentially allocating resources for reproduction, the...
Development and application of surrogate models, calculated loads, and aquatic export of carbon based on specific conductance, Big Cypress National Preserve, south Florida, 2015–17
Amanda Booth
2021, Open-File Report 2020-1136
Understanding the carbon transport within aquatic environments is crucial to quantifying global and local carbon budgets, yet limited empirical data currently (2021) exist. This report documents methodology and provides data for quantifying the aquatic export of carbon from a cypress swamp within Big Cypress National Preserve and is part of...
The weight of cities: Urbanization effects on Earth’s subsurface
Thomas E. Parsons
2021, AGU Advances (2)
Across the world, people increasingly choose to live in cities. By 2050, 70% of Earth's population will live in large urban areas. Upon considering a large city, questions arise such as, how much does that weigh? What are its effects on the landscape? Does it cause measurable...
An assessment of the economic potential of lignite and leonardite resources in the Williston Basin, North Dakota
Brian N. Shaffer
2021, Open-File Report 2020-1135
The Bureau of Land Management (BLM) requested assistance from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to conduct an assessment study to identify areas that may have economic potential for the future extraction of lignite and leonardite resources in the Williston Basin in North Dakota. The study will be used by the...
Linking modern pollen accumulation rates to biomass: Quantitative vegetation reconstruction in the western Klamath Mountains, NW California, USA
Clarke A. Knight, Mark Baskaran, M. Jane Bunting, Marie Rhondelle Champagne, Matthew D. Potts, David Wahl, James Wanket, John J. Battles
2021, The Holocene (31) 814-829
Quantitative reconstructions of vegetation abundance from sediment-derived pollen systems provide unique insights into past ecological conditions. Recently, the use of pollen accumulation rates (PAR, grains cm−2 year−1) has shown promise as a bioproxy for plant abundance. However, successfully reconstructing region-specific vegetation dynamics using PAR requires that accurate assessments of pollen deposition processes...
Assessing the impact of drought on arsenic exposure from private domestic wells in the conterminous United States
Melissa A. Lombard, Johnni Daniel, Zuha Jeddy, Lauren Hay, Joseph D. Ayotte
2021, Environmental Science & Technology (55) 1822-1831
This study assesses the potential impact of drought on arsenic exposure from private domestic wells by using a previously developed statistical model that predicts the probability of elevated arsenic concentrations (>10 μg per liter) in water from domestic wells located in the conterminous United States (CONUS). The application of the...
Formation of dense pyroclasts by sintering of ash particles during the preclimactic eruptions of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991
Yining Wang, James E. Gardner, Richard P. Hoblitt
2021, Bulletin of Volcanology (83)
Dense, vitric, dacitic pyroclasts (dacite lithics) from the 1991 preclimactic explosions of Mt. Pinatubo were analyzed for their vesicular and crystal textures and dissolved H2O and CO2 contents. Micron-scale heterogeneities in groundmass glass volatile contents (0.9 wt% differences in H2O within 500 μm) are observed and argue that parts of the dacite...
Coseismic fault slip and afterslip associated with the M5.7 March 18, 2020 Magna, Utah, earthquake
Frederick Pollitz, Charles Wicks, Jerry L. Svarc
2021, Seismological Research Letters (92) 741-754
The 2020 Magna, Utah, earthquake produced observable crustal deformation over a ∼ 100 km2 area around the southeast margin of Great Salt Lake, but it did not produce any surface rupture. To obtain a detailed picture of the fault slip, we combine strong motion seismic waveforms with GPS static offsets...
Three-dimensional distribution of residence time metrics in the glaciated United States using metamodels trained on general numerical models
J. Jeffrey Starn, Leon J. Kauffman, Carl S. Carlson, James E. Reddy, Michael N. Fienen
2021, Water Resources Research (57)
Residence time distribution (RTD) is a critically important characteristic of groundwater flow systems; however, it cannot be measured directly. RTD can be inferred from tracer data with analytical models (few parameters) or with numerical models (many parameters). The second approach permits more variation in system properties but...
Historic population estimates for bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) in Aragua, Venezuela indicate monitoring need
Sergio Cobarrubia-Russo, Shannon Barber-Meyer, Guillermo R. Barreto, Alimar Molero-Lizarraga
2021, Aquatic Mammals (1) 10-20
This study reports historic capture-mark-recapture survival and abundance estimates of common bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) based on photo-identification surveys of coastal Venezuela (along the Aragua coast between Turiamo Bay and Puerto Colombia). We used the most recent data available: dolphins identified by unique dorsal fin marks during wet and dry...
Exposure to domoic acid is an ecological driver of cardiac disease in southern sea otters
Megan E. Moriarty, M. Tim Tinker, Melissa Miller, Joseph A. Tomoleoni, Michelle M. Staedler, Jessica A. Fujii, Francesca I. Batac, Erin M. Dodd, Raphael M. Kudela, Vanessa Zubkousky-White, Christine K. Johnson
2021, Harmful Algae (101)
Harmful algal blooms produce toxins that bioaccumulate in the food web and adversely affect humans, animals, and entire marine ecosystems. Blooms of the diatom Pseudo-nitzschia can produce domoic acid (DA), a toxin that most commonly causes neurological disease in endothermic animals, with cardiovascular effects...
Eroding Cascadia— Sediment and solute transport and landscape denudation in western Oregon and northwestern California
Jim E. O'Connor, Joseph F. Mangano, Daniel R. Wise, Joshua R. Roering
2021, Geological Society of America Bulletin (133) 1851-1874
Riverine measurements of sediment and solute transport give empirical basin-scale estimates of bed-load, suspended-sediment, and silicate-solute fluxes for 100,000 km2 of northwestern California and western Oregon. This spatially explicit sediment budget shows the multifaceted control of geology and physiography on the rates and processes of fluvial...
Globally prevalent land nitrogen memory amplifies water pollution following drought years
Minjin Lee, Charles A. Stock, Elena Shevliakova, Sergey Malyshev, Paul C. D. Milly
2021, Environmental Research Letters (16)
Enhanced riverine delivery of terrestrial nitrogen (N) has polluted many freshwater and coastal ecosystems, degrading drinking water and marine resources. An emerging view suggests a contribution of land N memory effects—impacts of antecedent dry conditions on land N accumulation that disproportionately increase subsequent river N loads. To...