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Overcoming equifinality: Leveraging long time series for stream metabolism estimation
Alison P. Appling, Robert O. Hall Jr., Charles B. Yackulic, Maite Arroita
2018, Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences (123) 624-645
The foundational ecosystem processes of gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (ER) cannot be measured directly but can be modeled in aquatic ecosystems from subdaily patterns of oxygen (O2) concentrations. Because rivers and streams constantly exchange O2 with the atmosphere, models must either use empirical estimates of the gas exchange...
Future southcentral US wildfire probability due to climate change
Michael C. Stambaugh, Richard P. Guyette, Esther D. Stroh, Matthew A. Struckhoff, Joanna B. Whittier
2018, Climate Change (147) 617-631
Globally, changing fire regimes due to climate is one of the greatest threats to ecosystems and society. In this paper, we present projections of future fire probability for the southcentral USA using downscaled climate projections and the Physical Chemistry Fire Frequency Model (PC2FM). Future fire probability is projected to both...
Suspended-sediment transport from the Green-Duwamish River to the Lower Duwamish Waterway, Seattle, Washington, 2013–17
Craig A. Senter, Kathleen E. Conn, Robert W. Black, Norman Peterson, Ann M. Vanderpool-Kimura, James R. Foreman
2018, Open-File Report 2018-1029
The Green-Duwamish River transports watershed-derived sediment to the Lower Duwamish Waterway Superfund site near Seattle, Washington. Understanding the amount of sediment transported by the river is essential to the bed sediment cleanup process. Turbidity, discharge, suspended-sediment concentration (SSC), and particle-size data were collected by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)...
The geochemistry of loess: Asian and North American deposits compared
Daniel R. Muhs
2018, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences (155) 81-115
Loess is widely distributed over Asia and North America and constitutes one of the most important surficial deposits that serve as terrestrial records of the Quaternary. The oldest Pleistocene loess in China is likely ∼2.6 Ma, thus spanning much or all of the Pleistocene. In North America, most loess is no...
Spatial and spectral interpolation of ground-motion intensity measure observations
Charles Worden, Eric M. Thompson, Jack W. Baker, Brendon A. Bradley, Nico Luco, David J. Wald
2018, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (108) 866-875
Following a significant earthquake, ground‐motion observations are available for a limited set of locations and intensity measures (IMs). Typically, however, it is desirable to know the ground motions for additional IMs and at locations where observations are unavailable. Various interpolation methods are available, but because IMs or their logarithms are...
AMModels: An R package for storing models, data, and metadata to facilitate adaptive management
Therese M. Donovan, Jonathan Katz
2018, PLoS ONE (13) 1-57
Agencies are increasingly called upon to implement their natural resource management programs within an adaptive management (AM) framework. This article provides the background and motivation for the R package, AMModels. AMModels was developed under R version 3.2.2. The overall goal of AMModels is simple: To codify knowledge in the form of models and...
Flood-inundation maps for Cedar Creek at 18th Street at Auburn, Indiana
Kathleen K. Fowler
2018, Scientific Investigations Report 2017-5156
Digital flood-inundation maps for a 1.9-mile reach of Cedar Creek at Auburn, Indiana (Ind.), from the First Street bridge, downstream to the streamgage at 18th Street, then ending approximately 1,100 feet (ft) downstream of the Baltimore and Ohio railroad, were created by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in cooperation with...
Surrounding land cover types as predictors of palustrine wetland vegetation quality in conterminous USA
Martin A. Stapanian, Brian Gara, William Schumacher
2018, Science of the Total Environment (619-620) 366-375
The loss of wetland habitats and their often-unique biological communities is a major environmental concern. We examined vegetation data obtained from 380 wetlands sampled in a statistical survey of wetlands in the USA. Our goal was to identify which surrounding land cover types best predict two indices of vegetation quality...
An analytical framework for estimating aquatic species density from environmental DNA
Thierry Chambert, David S. Pilliod, Caren S. Goldberg, Hideyuki Doi, Teruhiko Takahara
2018, Ecology and Evolution (8) 3468-3477
Environmental DNA (eDNA) analysis of water samples is on the brink of becoming a standard monitoring method for aquatic species. This method has improved detection rates over conventional survey methods and thus has demonstrated effectiveness for estimation of site occupancy and species distribution. The frontier of eDNA applications, however, is...
Effects of the proposed California WaterFix North Delta Diversion on flow reversals and entrainment of juvenile Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) into Georgiana Slough and the Delta Cross Channel, northern California
Russell W. Perry, Jason G. Romine, Adam C. Pope, Scott D. Evans
2018, Open-File Report 2018-1028
The California Department of Water Resources and Bureau of Reclamation propose new water intake facilities on the Sacramento River in northern California that would convey some of the water for export to areas south of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta (hereinafter referred to as the Delta) through tunnels rather...
Spatially distributed groundwater recharge estimated using a water-budget model for the Island of Maui, Hawai`i, 1978–2007
Adam G. Johnson, John A. Engott, Maoya Bassiouni, Kolja Rotzoll
2018, Scientific Investigations Report 2014-5168
Demand for freshwater on the Island of Maui is expected to grow. To evaluate the availability of fresh groundwater, estimates of groundwater recharge are needed. A water-budget model with a daily computation interval was developed and used to estimate the spatial distribution of recharge on Maui for average climate conditions...
Rayleigh and S wave tomography constraints on subduction termination and lithospheric foundering in central California
Chengxin Jiang, Brandon Schmandt, Steven M. Hansen, Sara L. Dougherty, Robert W. Clayton, Jamie Farrell, Fan-Chi Lin
2018, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (488) 14-26
The crust and upper mantle structure of central California have been modified by subduction termination, growth of the San Andreas plate boundary fault system, and small-scale upper mantle convection since the early Miocene. Here we investigate the contributions of these processes to the creation of the Isabella Anomaly, which is...
Rare long-distance dispersal of the Island Night Lizard, Xantusia riversiana, maintains high diversity in a fragmented environment
Ryan P. O’Donnell, Charles A. Drost, Gary M. Fellers, Benjamin A. Crabb, Karen E. Mock
2018, Conservation Genetics (19) 803-814
The Island Night Lizard (Xantusia riversiana) is endemic to three of the Channel Islands off the coast of California, USA. Introduced species such as goats, sheep, and cats have profoundly affected the fauna and flora of the islands for over 150 years, but most of these non-native species have been...
Waterbird habitat in California's Central Valley basins under climate, urbanization, and water management scenarios
Elliott Matchett, Joseph P. Fleskes
2018, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management (9) 75-94
California's Central Valley provides critical, but threatened habitat and food resources for migrating and wintering waterfowl, shorebirds, and other waterbirds. The Central Valley is comprised of nine basins that were defined by the Central Valley Joint Venture (CVJV) to assist in conservation planning. Basins vary in composition and extent of...
Enhanced invertebrate prey production following estuarine restoration supports foraging for multiple species of juvenile salmonids (Oncorhynchus spp.)
Isa Woo, Melanie J. Davis, Christopher S. Ellings, Glynnis Nakai, John Y. Takekawa, Susan E.W. De La Cruz
2018, Restoration Ecology (26) 964-975
Estuaries provide crucial foraging resources and nursery habitat for threatened populations of anadromous salmon. As such, there has been a global undertaking to restore habitat and tidal processes in modified estuaries. The foraging capacity of these ecosystems to support various species of out-migrating juvenile salmon can be quantified by monitoring...
Report of the IAU Working Group on Cartographic Coordinates and Rotational Elements: 2015
Brent A. Archinal, C. H. Acton, M. F. A’Hearn, A. Conrad, G. J. Consolmagno, T. Duxbury, D. Hestroffer, J. L. Hilton, Randolph L. Kirk, S. A. Klioner, D. McCarthy, K. Meech, J. Oberst, J. Ping, P. K. Seidelmann, D. J. Tholen, P. C. Thomas, I. P. Williams
2018, Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy (130)
This report continues the practice where the IAU Working Group on Cartographic Coordinates and Rotational Elements revises recommendations regarding those topics for the planets, satellites, minor planets, and comets approximately every three years. The Working Group has now become a “functional working group” of the IAU and its membership is...
Status and understanding of groundwater quality in the North San Francisco Bay Shallow Aquifer study unit, 2012; California GAMA Priority Basin Project (ver. 1.1, February 2018)
George L. Bennett V
2018, Scientific Investigations Report 2017-5051
Groundwater quality in the North San Francisco Bay Shallow Aquifer study unit (NSF-SA) was investigated as part of the Priority Basin Project of the California Groundwater Ambient Monitoring and Assessment (GAMA) Program. The study unit is in Marin, Mendocino, Napa, Solano, and Sonoma Counties and included two physiographic study areas:...
Temporal stress changes caused by earthquakes: A review
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Tomomi Okada
2018, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (123) 1350-1365
Earthquakes can change the stress field in the Earth’s lithosphere as they relieve and redistribute stress. Earthquake-induced stress changes have been observed as temporal rotations of the principal stress axes following major earthquakes in a variety of tectonic settings. The stress changes due to the 2011 Mw9.0 Tohoku-Oki, Japan, earthquake...
A floodplain continuum for Atlantic coast rivers of the Southeastern US: Predictable changes in floodplain biota along a river's length
Darold P. Batzer, Gregory E. Noe, Linda Lee, Mark Galatowitsch
2018, Wetlands (38) 1-13
Floodplains are among the world’s economically-most-valuable, environmentally-most-threatened, and yet conceptually-least-understood ecosystems. Drawing on concepts from existing riverine and wetland models, and empirical data from floodplains of Atlantic Coast rivers in the Southeastern US (and elsewhere when possible), we introduce a conceptual model to explain a continuum of longitudinal variation in...
Ground-motion models for very-hard rock sites in eastern North America: An update
David Boore
2018, Seismological Research Letters (89) 1172-1184
The ground‐motion models provided by me to the Next Generation Attenuation‐East (NGA‐East) project in 2015 have been updated by considering three additional Fourier spectra attenuation models and by conducting a mixed‐effect analysis of the residuals between the ground‐motion intensity measures computed from the attenuation models and the data from nine...
Examining the role of unusually warm Indo‐Pacific sea‐surface temperatures in recent African droughts
Chris Funk, Laura Harrison, Shradhanand Shukla, Catherine Pomposi, Gideon Galu, Diriba Korecha, Gregory Husak, Tamuka Magadzire, Frank Davenport, Chris Hillbruner, Gary Eilerts, B Zaitchik, James Verdin
2018, Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society (144) 360-383
Southern Africa (SA) and eastern Africa (EA) experienced a sequence of severe droughts in December–February (SA DJF) 2015–2016, October–December (EA OND) 2016 and March–April–May 2017 (EA MAM). This sequence contributed to severe food insecurity. While climate variability in these regions is very complex, the goal of this study is to...
The sensitivity of ecosystem service models to choices of input data and spatial resolution
Kenneth J. Bagstad, Erika Cohen, Zachary H. Ancona, Steven McNulty, Ge Sun
2018, Applied Geography (93) 25-36
Although ecosystem service (ES) modeling has progressed rapidly in the last 10–15 years, comparative studies on data and model selection effects have become more common only recently. Such studies have drawn mixed conclusions about whether different data and model choices yield divergent results. In this study, we compared the results...
Variability in soil-water retention properties and implications for physics-based simulation of landslide early warning criteria
Matthew A. Thomas, Benjamin B. Mirus, Brian D. Collins, Ning Lu, Jonathan W. Godt
2018, Landslides (15) 1265-1277
Rainfall-induced shallow landsliding is a persistent hazard to human life and property. Despite the observed connection between infiltration through the unsaturated zone and shallow landslide initiation, there is considerable uncertainty in how estimates of unsaturated soil-water retention properties affect slope stability assessment. This source of uncertainty is critical to evaluating...
Clayey landslide initiation and acceleration strongly modulated by soil swelling
William H. Schulz, Joel B. Smith, Gonghui Wang, Yao Jiang, Joshua J. Roering
2018, Geophysical Research Letters (45) 1888-1896
Largely unknown mechanisms restrain motion of clay-rich, slow-moving landslides that are widespread worldwide and rarely accelerate catastrophically. We studied a clayey, slow-moving landslide typical of thousands in northern California, USA, to decipher hydrologic-mechanical interactions that modulate landslide dynamics. Similar to some other studies, observed pore-water pressures correlated poorly with landslide...
Improving estimation of flight altitude in wildlife telemetry studies
Sharon A. Poessel, Adam E. Duerr, Jonathan C. Hall, Melissa A. Braham, Todd E. Katzner
2018, Journal of Applied Ecology (55) 2064-2070
Altitude measurements from wildlife tracking devices, combined with elevation data, are commonly used to estimate the flight altitude of volant animals. However, these data often include measurement error. Understanding this error may improve estimation of flight altitude and benefit applied ecology.There are a number of different approaches that have been...