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Economic impacts of the ShakeOut scenario
A. Rose, D. Wei, A. Wein
2011, Earthquake Spectra (27) 539-557
For the ShakeOut Earthquake Scenario, we estimate $68 billion in direct and indirect business interruption (BI) and $11 billion in related costs in addition to the $113 billion in property damage in an eight-county Southern California region. The modeled conduits of shock to the economy are property damage and lifeline...
Adapting generalization tools to physiographic diversity for the united states national hydrography dataset
B.P. Buttenfield, L.V. Stanislawski, C.A. Brewer
2011, Cartography and Geographic Information Science (38) 289-301
This paper reports on generalization and data modeling to create reduced scale versions of the National Hydrographic Dataset (NHD) for dissemination through The National Map, the primary data delivery portal for USGS. Our approach distinguishes local differences in physiographic factors, to demonstrate that knowledge about varying terrain (mountainous, hilly or...
Fire frequency, area burned, and severity: A quantitative approach to defining a normal fire year
J.A. Lutz, Carl H. Key, C.A. Kolden, J.T. Kane, Jan W. Van Wagtendonk
2011, Fire Ecology (7) 51-65
Fire frequency, area burned, and fire severity are important attributes of a fire regime, but few studies have quantified the interrelationships among them in evaluating a fire year. Although area burned is often used to summarize a fire season, burned area may not be well correlated with either the number...
A Regional Modeling Framework of Phosphorus Sources and Transport in Streams of the Southeastern United States
A.M. Garcia, A.B. Hoos, S. Terziotti
2011, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (47) 991-1010
We applied the SPARROW model to estimate phosphorus transport from catchments to stream reaches and subsequent delivery to major receiving water bodies in the Southeastern United States (U.S.). We show that six source variables and five land‐to‐water transport variables are significant (p < 0.05) in explaining 67% of the variability in long‐term...
Parallelization of GeoClaw code for modeling geophysical flows with adaptive mesh refinement on many-core systems
S. Zhang, D.A. Yuen, A. Zhu, S. Song, David L. George
2011, Conference Paper, 14th IEEE Int. Conf. on Computational Science and Engineering, CSE 2011 and 11th Int. Symp. on Pervasive Systems, Algorithms, and Networks, I-SPA 2011 and 10th IEEE Int. Conf. on IUCC 2011
We parallelized the GeoClaw code on one-level grid using OpenMP in March, 2011 to meet the urgent need of simulating tsunami waves at near-shore from Tohoku 2011 and achieved over 75% of the potential speed-up on an eight core Dell Precision T7500 workstation [1]. After submitting that work to SC11...
Are soils of Iowa USA currently a carbon sink or source? Simulated changes in SOC stock from 1972 to 2007
Shuguang Liu, Z. Tan, Z. Li, S. Zhao, W. Yuan
2011, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment (140) 106-112
Upscaling the spatial and temporal changes in carbon (C) stocks and fluxes from sites to regions is a critical and challenging step toward improving our understanding of the dynamics of C sources and sinks over large areas. This study simulated soil organic C (SOC) dynamics within 0–100 cm depth of soils...
The magnitude distribution of earthquakes near Southern California faults
M.T. Page, D. Alderson, J. Doyle
2011, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (116)
We investigate seismicity near faults in the Southern California Earthquake Center Community Fault Model. We search for anomalously large events that might be signs of a characteristic earthquake distribution. We find that seismicity near major fault zones in Southern California is well modeled by a Gutenberg-Richter distribution, with no evidence...
Mid Holocene lake level and shoreline behavior during the Nipissing phase of the upper Great Lakes at Alpena, Michigan, USA
T.A. Thompson, K. Lepper, A.L. Endres, J.W. Johnston, S.J. Baedke, E.P. Argyilan, R.K. Booth, D.A. Wilcox
2011, Journal of Great Lakes Research (37) 567-576
The Nipissing phase was the last pre-modern high-water stage of the upper Great Lakes. Represented as either a one- or two-peak highstand, the Nipissing occurred following a long-term lake-level rise. This transgression was primarily an erosional event with only the final stage of the transgression preserved as barriers, spits, and strandplains...
MercNet: A national monitoring network to assess responses to changing mercury emissions in the United States
D. Schmeltz, D.C. Evers, C. T. Driscoll, R. Artz, M. Cohen, D. Gay, R. Haeuber, D. P. Krabbenhoft, R. Mason, K. Morris, J.G. Wiener
2011, Ecotoxicology (20) 1713-1725
A partnership of federal and state agencies, tribes, industry, and scientists from academic research and environmental organizations is establishing a national, policy-relevant mercury monitoring network, called MercNet, to address key questions concerning changes in anthropogenic mercury emissions and deposition, associated linkages to ecosystem effects, and recovery from mercury contamination. This...
Specifying initial stress for dynamic heterogeneous earthquake source models
D.J. Andrews, M. Barall
2011, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (101) 2408-2417
Dynamic rupture calculations using heterogeneous stress drop that is random and self-similar with a power-law spatial spectrum have great promise of producing realistic ground-motion predictions. We present procedures to specify initial stress for random events with a target rupture length and target magnitude. The stress function is modified in the...
A lognormal distribution of metal resources
Donald A. Singer
2011, Diqiu Kexue - Zhongguo Dizhi Daxue Xuebao/Earth Science - Journal of China University of Geosciences (36) 201-208
For national or global resource estimation of frequencies of metals, a lognormal distribution has commonly been recommended but not adequately tested. Tests of frequencies of Cu, Zn, Pb, Ag, and Au contents of 1 984 well-explored mineral deposits display a poor fit to the lognormal distribution. When the same metals...
Spatial variation in transient water table responses: Differences between an upper and lower hillslope zone
D.R.W. Haught, H. J. Van Meerveld
2011, Hydrological Processes (25) 3866-3877
To better understand storage-runoff dynamics, transient groundwater responses were examined in one of the steep watersheds in British Columbia's coastal mountains. Streamflow and piezometric data were collected for 1year to determine the spatial and temporal relations between transient groundwater levels and discharge. Correlations between piezometer responses and lag-time analysis were...
Estimating trends in alligator populations from nightlight survey data
Ikuko Fujisaki, F.J. Mazzotti, R.M. Dorazio, Kenneth G. Rice, M. Cherkiss, B. Jeffery
2011, Wetlands (31) 147-155
Nightlight surveys are commonly used to evaluate status and trends of crocodilian populations, but imperfect detection caused by survey- and location-specific factors makes it difficult to draw population inferences accurately from uncorrected data. We used a two-stage hierarchical model comprising population abundance and detection probability to examine recent abundance trends...
Wave-current interaction in Willapa Bay
Maitane Olabarrieta, John C. Warner, Nirnimesh Kumar
2011, Journal of Geophysical Research C: Oceans (116)
This paper describes the importance of wave-current interaction in an inlet-estuary system. The three-dimensional, fully coupled, Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave-Sediment Transport (COAWST) modeling system was applied in Willapa Bay (Washington State) from 22 to 29 October 1998 that included a large storm event. To represent the interaction between waves and currents, the...
Biogeochemical processes on tree islands in the greater everglades: Initiating a new paradigm
P.R. Wetzel, Fred H. Sklar, C.A. Coronado, T.G. Troxler, S.L. Krupa, P.L. Sullivan, S. Ewe, R.M. Price, S. Newman, William H. Orem
2011, Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology (41) 670-701
Scientists’ understanding of the role of tree islands in the Everglades has evolved from a plant community of minor biogeochemical importance to a plant community recognized as the driving force for localized phosphorus accumulation within the landscape. Results from this review suggest that tree transpiration, nutrient infiltration from the soil...
The key to commercial-scale geological CO2 sequestration: Displaced fluid management
R.C. Surdam, Z. Jiao, P. Stauffer, T. Miller
2011, Energy Procedia (4) 4246-4251
The Wyoming State Geological Survey has completed a thorough inventory and prioritization of all Wyoming stratigraphic units and geologic sites capable of sequestering commercial quantities of CO2 (5–15 Mt CO2/year). This multi-year study identified the Paleozoic Tensleep/Weber Sandstone and Madison Limestone (and stratigraphic equivalent units) as the leading clastic and carbonate...
Economic resilience lessons from the ShakeOut earthquake scenario
A. Wein, A. Rose
2011, Earthquake Spectra (27) 559-573
Following a damaging earthquake, “business interruption” (BI)—reduced production of goods and services—begins and continues long after the ground shaking stops. Economic resilience reduces BI losses by making the best use of the resources available at a given point in time (static resilience) or by speeding recovery through repair and reconstruction...
Geologic framework influences on the geomorphology of an anthropogenically modified barrier island: Assessment of dune/beach changes at Fire Island, New York
Erika E. Lentz, Cheryl Hapke
2011, Geomorphology (126) 82-96
Antecedent geology plays a crucial role in determining the inner-shelf, nearshore, and onshore geomorphology observed in coastal systems. However, the influence of the geologic framework on a system is difficult to extract when evaluating responses to changes due to storms and anthropogenic modifications, and few studies have quantified the potential...
Genetic discontinuity among regional populations of Lophelia pertusa in the North Atlantic Ocean
C.L. Morrison, Steve W. Ross, M.S. Nizinski, S. Brooke, J. Jarnegren, R.G. Waller, Robin L. Johnson, T.L. King
2011, Conservation Genetics (12) 713-729
Knowledge of the degree to which populations are connected through larval dispersal is imperative to effective management, yet little is known about larval dispersal ability or population connectivity in Lophelia pertusa, the dominant framework-forming coral on the continental slope in the North Atlantic Ocean. Using nine microsatellite DNA markers,...
InSAR observations of aseismic slip associated with an earthquake swarm in the Columbia River flood basalts
Charles Wicks, W. Thelen, C. Weaver, J. Gomberg, A. Rohay, P. Bodin
2011, Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth (116)
In 2009 a swarm of small shallow earthquakes occurred within the basalt flows of the Columbia River Basalt Group (CRBG). The swarm occurred within a dense seismic network in the U.S. Department of Energys Hanford Site. Data from the seismic network along with interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data from...
Expansion rate and geometry of floating vegetation mats on the margins of thermokarst lakes, northern Seward Peninsula, Alaska, USA
A.D. Parsekian, Benjamin M. Jones, M. Jones, G. Grosse, Anthony K.M. Walter, L. Slater
2011, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (36) 1889-1897
Investigations on the northern Seward Peninsula in Alaska identified zones of recent (<50 years) permafrost collapse that led to the formation of floating vegetation mats along thermokarst lake margins. The occurrence of floating vegetation mat features indicates rapid degradation of near‐surface permafrost and lake expansion. This paper reports on the recent...
Changes in monoterpene mixing ratios during summer storms in rural New Hampshire (USA)
Karl B. Haase, C. Jordan, E. Mentis, L. Cottrell, H.R. Mayne, R. Talbot, B.C. Sive
2011, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions (11) 20631-20665
Monoterpenes are an important class of biogenic hydrocarbons that influence ambient air quality and are a principle source of secondary organic aerosol (SOA). Emitted from vegetation, monoterpenes are a product of photosynthesis and act as a response to a variety of environmental factors. Most parameterizations of monoterpene emissions are based...
Nearshore Tsunami Inundation Model Validation: Toward Sediment Transport Applications
Alex Apotsos, Mark Buckley, Guy Gelfenbaum, Bruce Jaffe, Deepak Vatvani
2011, Pure and Applied Geophysics (168) 2097-2119
Model predictions from a numerical model, Delft3D, based on the nonlinear shallow water equations are compared with analytical results and laboratory observations from seven tsunami-like benchmark experiments, and with field observations from the 26 December 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. The model accurately predicts the magnitude and timing of the measured...
Quantification of a male sea lamprey pheromone in tributaries of Laurentian Great Lakes by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry
X. Xi, N.S. Johnson, C.O. Brant, S.-S. Yun, K.L. Chambers, A.D. Jones, W. Li
2011, Environmental Science & Technology (45) 6437-6443
We developed an assay for measuring 7α,12α,24-trihydroxy-5a-cholan-3-one-24-sulfate (3kPZS), a mating pheromone released by male sea lampreys (Petromyzon marinus), at low picomolar concentrations in natural waters to assess the presence of invasive populations. 3kPZS was extracted from streamwater at a rate of recovery up to 90% using a single cation-exchange and...
Digital hydrologic networks supporting applications related to spatially referenced regression modeling
J. W. Brakebill, D.M. Wolock, S.E. Terziotti
2011, Journal of the American Water Resources Association (47) 916-932
Digital hydrologic networks depicting surface‐water pathways and their associated drainage catchments provide a key component to hydrologic analysis and modeling. Collectively, they form common spatial units that can be used to frame the descriptions of aquatic and watershed processes. In addition, they provide the ability to simulate and route the...