Modeling the mid-Piacenzian warm climate using the water isotope-enabled Community Earth System Model (iCESM1.2-ITPCAS)
Yong Sun, Baohuang Su, Harry J. Dowsett, Haibin Wu, Jun Hu, Christian Stepanek, Zhongyu Xiong, Xiayu Yuan, Gilles Ramstein
2024, Climate Dynamics (62) 7741-7761
The mid-Piacenzian Warm Period (MPWP, ~ 3.264–3.025 Ma) is the most recent example of a persistently warmer climate in equilibrium with atmospheric CO2 concentrations similar to today. Towards studying patterns and dynamics of a warming climate the MPWP is often compared to today. Following the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 2...
Viability modeling for decision support with limited data: A lizard case study
Ashley B.C. Goode, Nathan Allan, Conor P. McGowan
2024, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Managment (15) 70-86
Plateau spot-tailed earless lizards, Holbrookia lacerata, are a species of ground lizard in central Texas that are under review for listing as endangered under the US Endangered Species Act, but heretofore no predictive models of population dynamics or viability have been developed. We used limited available data and published demographic...
Thermo-hydrologic processes governing supra-permafrost talik dynamics in discontinuous permafrost near Umiujaq (Québec, Canada)
Philippe Fortier, Nathan Young, Michelle A. Walvoord, Jean-Michel Lemieux, Aaron Mohammed
2024, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Permafrost
Widespread supra-permafrost talik formation is currently recognized as a critical mechanism that could accelerate permafrost thaw in the Arctic (e.g., Connon et al. 2018; Farquharson et al. 2022). However, the trajectory of permafrost dynamics following talik formation may prove difficult to predict. Physically-based cryohydrogeologic models provide a powerful tool for understanding processes and factors controlling talik dynamics and,...
A history of cryohydrogeology modeling and recent advancements through the integration of solute transport
Barret L. Kurylyk, Julia Guimond, Aaron Mohammed, Victor F. Bense, Jeffrey M. McKenzie, Michelle A. Walvoord, Rob Jamieson, R. Bailey Strong
2024, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Permafrost
Groundwater flow systems and permafrost are interrelated because permafrost thaw enhances permeability, while groundwater flow can advect heat and accelerate permafrost thaw (McKenzie et al. 2021). Given amplified climate change in cold regions, there is renewed interest in ‘cryohydrogeology’, the study of groundwater in cold regions. Many data-driven studies have...
Thermal and hydrological limitations on modeling carbon dynamics at wetland sites of discontinuous and continuous permafrost extent
Benjamin C. Maglio, Ruth Rutter, Tobey Carman, Colin W. Edgar, Eugénie S. Euskirchen, Hélène Genet, Andrew Mullen, Valeria Briones, Elchin Jafarov, Kristen L. Manies
2024, Conference Paper, Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Permafrost
Accurate representation of cryohydrological processes is fundamental for biosphere models, particularly at high-latitudes, given their influence on carbon and permafrost dynamics in carbon-rich peatlands and wetlands. This study analyzes site-level simulations in moist and wet drainage conditions in continuous or discontinuous permafrost regions, using a terrestrial ecosystem model DVM-DOS-TEM. Functional...
Iron oxyhydroxide-rich hydrothermal deposits at the high-temperature Fåvne vent field, Mohns Ridge
Caroline Gini, John Jamieson, Eoghan P. Reeves, Amy Gartman, Thibaut Barreyre, Michael G. Babechuk, Steffen L. Jorgensen, Katleen Robert
2024, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (25)
The recently discovered Fåvne vent field, located at 3,040 m depth on the slow-spreading Mohns mid-ocean ridge between Greenland and Norway, is a high-temperature (≥250°C) vent field that is characterized by Fe oxyhydroxide-rich and S-poor chimneys and mounds. The vent field is located on both the hanging wall and footwall of...
Prediction of regional broadband strong ground motions using a teleseismic source model of the 18 April 2014 Mw 7.3 Papanoa, Mexico, earthquake
Carlos Mendoza, Stephen H. Hartzell, Leonardo Ramirez-Guzman, R. Martinez-Lopez
2024, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (14) 2524-2545
To estimate predicted ground motion from a teleseismic slip model, we use a low‐ and high‐frequency hybrid method to simulate the regional, strong ground motions observed following the 18 April 2014 moment magnitude (Mw) 7.3 Papanoa, Mexico, earthquake. To generate the regional ground motion at low frequencies (<1 Hz),...
Dissolved arsenic concentrations in surface waters within the upper portions of the Klamath River Basin, Oregon and California
Marie Noele Croteau, Brent R. Topping, Rick A. Carlson
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5029
Arsenic toxicity is an environmental health problem. Levels of arsenic in surface waters at some locations in the Klamath River Basin in southern Oregon and northern California can exceed the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) standard for drinking water. There are both anthropogenic and natural sources of arsenic. The Klamath...
System characterization report on the Gaofen-6
Aparajithan Sampath, Jon Christopherson, Seonkyung Park, Minsu Kim, Gregory L. Stensaas, Cody Anderson
2024, Open-File Report 2021-1030-M
Executive SummaryGaofen-6 represents a series of Chinese high-resolution Earth observation satellites. More than 12 satellites have been launched in the Gaofen series, beginning with Gaofen-1 in 2013. Satellites within the series have varying infrared, radar, and optical imaging capabilities. The primary goal for the satellites in this series is to...
Distribution, abundance, and breeding activities of the Least Bell's Vireo at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, California—2020 annual report
Suellen Lynn, Michelle Treadwell, Barbara E. Kus
2024, Open-File Report 2024-1009
Executive SummaryThe purpose of this report is to provide the Marine Corps with an annual summary of abundance, breeding activity, demography, and habitat use of endangered Least Bell’s Vireos (Vireo bellii pusillus) at Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton (MCBCP, or Base). Surveys for the Least Bell's Vireo were conducted...
Using an adaptive modeling framework to identify avian influenza spillover risk at the wild-domestic interface
Diann Prosser, Cody M. Kent, Jeffery D. Sullivan, Kelly A. Patyk, Mary-Jane McCool, Mia K. Torchetti, Kristina Lantz, Jennifer M. Mullinax
2024, Scientific Reports (14)
The wild to domestic bird interface is an important nexus for emergence and transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses. Although the recent incursion of HPAI H5N1 Clade 2.3.4.4b into North America calls for emergency response and planning given the unprecedented scale, readily available data-driven models are lacking. Here,...
Predicting responses to climate change using a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance model
Christopher A. Custer, Joshua S. North, Erin M. Schliep, Michael R. Verhoeven, Gretchen J.A. Hansen, Tyler Wagner
2024, Ecology (105)
Predicting the effects of warming temperatures on the abundance and distribution of organisms under future climate scenarios often requires extrapolating species–environment correlations to climatic conditions not currently experienced by a species, which can result in unrealistic predictions. For poikilotherms, incorporating species' thermal physiology to inform extrapolations under novel thermal conditions...
Indications of preferential groundwater seepage feeding northern peatland pools
Henry Moore, Xavier Comas, Martin A. Briggs, Andrew S. Reeve, Lee Slater
2024, Journal of Hydrology (638)
Groundwater seepage from underlying permeable glacial sedimentary structures, such as eskers, has been hypothesized to directly feed pools in northern peat bogs. These hypotheses directly contradict classical peat bog models for ombrogenous systems, wherein meteoric water is the sole water input...
Evaluation of extinction risk for stream fishes within an urban riverscape using population viability analysis
Brock Huntsman, Kai Palenscar, Kerwin Russell, Brett Mills, Chris Jones, William Ota, Kurt E. Anderson, Heather Dyer, Fitsum Abadi, Marissa L. Wulff
2024, Aquatic Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems (34)
1. The Santa Ana River in the Los Angeles region of California demonstrates common habitat degradation symptoms that are characteristic of the urban stream syndrome. These impacts have altered the Santa Ana River community structure, with few species as impacted as the native Santa Ana sucker (sucker; Pantosteus santaanae). 2. Consequently,...
Signatures of wave erosion in Titan’s coasts
Rose Elizabeth Palermo, Andrew D. Ashton, Jason M. Soderblom, Samuel P. D. Birch, Alexander G. Hayes, J. Taylor Perron
2024, Science Advances (10)
The shorelines of Titan’s hydrocarbon seas trace flooded erosional landforms such as river valleys; however, it is unclear whether coastal erosion has subsequently altered these shorelines. Spacecraft observations and theoretical models suggest that wind may cause waves to form on Titan’s seas, potentially driving coastal erosion, but the observational evidence...
River channel response to the removal of the Pilchuck River Diversion Dam, Washington State
Scott W. Anderson, Brett Shattuck, Neil Shea, Catherine M. Seguin, Joe J. Miles, Derek Marks, Natasha Coumou
2024, Northwest Science (97) 134-145
In August 2020, the 3-m tall Pilchuck River Diversion Dam was removed from the Pilchuck River, allowing free fish passage to the upper third of the watershed for the first time in over a century. The narrow, 300-m long impoundment behind the dam was estimated to hold 4,000–7,500 m3 of sand...
Demographics of a previously undocumented diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin) population
Daniel J. Catizone, Travis M. Thomas, Christina Romagosa, Margaret Lamont
2024, Estuaries and Coasts (47) 1684-1693
Coastal habitats are some of the most imperiled due to climate change and anthropogenic activities. As such, it is important to understand population dynamics of the species that may play a role in regulating coastal systems. Diamondback terrapins in Northwest Florida have been understudied, which has resulted in a gap...
Spatial patterns as long transients in submersed-floating plant competition with biocontrol
Linhao Xu, Don DeAngelis
2024, Theoretical Ecology (17) 185-202
A cellular automata model was developed and parameterized to test the effectiveness of application of biological control insects to water hyacinth (Pontederia crassipes), which is an invasive floating plant species in many parts of the world and outcompetes many submersed native aquatic species in southern Florida....
Solute export patterns across the contiguous USA
Dustin W. Kincaid, Kristen L. Underwood, Scott Douglas Hamshaw, L. Li, Erin C. Seybold, Bryn Stewart, Donna M. Rizzo, Ijaz Ul Haq, Julia N. Perdrial
2024, Hydrological Processes (38)
Understanding controls on solute export to streams is challenging because heterogeneous catchments can respond uniquely to drivers of environmental change. To understand general solute export patterns, we used a large-scale inductive approach to evaluate concentration–discharge (C–Q) metrics across catchments spanning a broad range of catchment attributes and hydroclimatic drivers. We...
Visualizing wading bird optimal foraging decisions with aggregation behaviors using individual-based modeling
Simeon Yurek, Donald L. DeAngelis, Hyo Won Lee, Stephen Tennenbaum
2024, Ecological Modelling (493)
Foragers on patchy landscapes must efficiently balance time between searching for and consuming resources to meet their daily energetic requirements. Spatial aggregation foraging behaviors may improve foraging efficiency by sharing information on locations of resource hotspots. Wading birds are an example of patch foragers that form colonial aggregations during the...
Peak streamflow trends in Illinois and their relation to changes in climate, water years 1921–2020
Mackenzie K. Marti, Thomas M. Over
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2023-5064-B
This report characterizes changes in peak streamflow in Illinois and the relation of these changes to climatic variability, and provides a foundation for future studies that can address nonstationarity in peak-flow frequency analysis in Illinois. Records of annual peak and daily streamflow at streamgages and gridded monthly climatic data (observed...
Evaluation of short-term mussel test for estimating toxicity
Ning Wang, James L. Kunz, Chris D. Ivey, Danielle M. Cleveland, Jeffery A. Steevens
2024, Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (43) 2020-2025
Effect concentrations of ammonia, nickel, sodium chloride, and potassium chloride from short-term 7-day tests were compared to those from standard chronic 28-day toxicity tests with juvenile mussels (fatmucket, Lampsilis siliquoidea) to evaluate the sensitivities of the 7-day tests. The effect concentrations for nickel (59 µg Ni/L), chloride...
Catchment coevolution and the geomorphic origins of variable source area hydrology
David G Litwin, Gregory E. Tucker, Katherine R. Barnhart, Ciaran Harman
2024, Water Resources Research (60)
Features of landscape morphology—including slope, curvature, and drainage dissection—are important controls on runoff generation in upland landscapes. Over long timescales, runoff plays an essential role in shaping these same features through surface erosion. This feedback between erosion and runoff generation suggests that modeling long-term landscape evolution together...
Did steam boost the height and growth rate of the giant Hunga eruption plume?
Larry G. Mastin, Alexa R. Van Eaton, Shane Cronin
2024, Bulletin of Volcanology (86)
The eruption of Hunga volcano on 15 January 2022 produced a higher plume and faster-growing umbrella cloud than has ever been previously recorded. The plume height exceeded 58 km, and the umbrella grew to 450 km in diameter within 50 min. Assuming an umbrella thickness of...
Delayed positive responses of snowshoe hares to prescribed burning in a fire-adapted ecosystem
Laura C. Gigliotti, Emily S. Boyd, Duane R. Diefenbach
2024, Animal Conservation
Wildlife populations near the periphery of a species’ range are vulnerable to changes in habitat conditions and climate. However, habitat management and maintenance can help with the persistence of these susceptible populations. Snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) populations near the southern extent of their range are at risk of extirpation because...