Simple stated preference questions can enhance transdisciplinary projects: Linking perceived risks with willingness to spray and pay
Aaron Joey Enriquez, Kevin Berry, Maria del Pilar Fernandez, Nichar Gregory, Kacey C. Ernst, Mary H. Hayden, Maria A. Diuk-Wasser
2024, Environmental and Resource Economics (88) 81-124
Transdisciplinary projects can uncover crucial insights on people’s past and future risk-mitigation behavior. We focus on a novel risk context: increasing health threats from ticks on Staten Island, a New York City borough where the combination of high population density and extensive park systems and green spaces has resulted in...
Reduced injection rates and shallower depths mitigated induced seismicity in Oklahoma
Robert J. Skoumal, Andrew J. Barbour, Justin L. Rubenstein, Margaret Elizabeth Glasgow
2024, The Seismic Record (4) 279-287
The proximity of wastewater disposal to the Precambrian basement is a critical factor influencing induced earthquake rates in the Central United States, but the impact of reducing injection depths has not been widely demonstrated. Beginning in 2015, state regulatory efforts in Oklahoma and Kansas mandated that wells injecting into the...
Before the fire: Predicting burn severity and potential post-fire debris-flow hazards to Colorado River Cutthroat Trout (Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations
Adam Gerhard Wells, Charles B. Yackulic, Jaime Kostelnik, Andrew R. Bock, Robert E. Zuellig, Daren M. Carlisle, James J. Roberts, Kevin B. Rogers, Seth M. Munson
2024, International Journal of Wildland Fire (33)
BackgroundColorado River Cutthroat Trout (CRCT; Oncorhynchus clarkii pleuriticus) conservation populations may be at risk from wildfire and post-fire debris flows hazards.AimTo predict burn severity and potential post-fire debris flow hazard classifications to CRCT conservation populations before wildfires occur.MethodsWe used remote sensing, spatial analyses, and machine learning to model 28 wildfire incidents...
Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa
Kendra J. Lynn, Drew T. Downs, Frank A. Trusdell, Penny E. Wieser, Berenise Rangel, Baylee Rose McDade, Alicia J. Hotovec-Ellis, Ninfa Lucia Bennington, Kyle R. Anderson, Dawn Catherine Sweeney Ruth, Charlotte DeVitre, Andria P. Ellis, Patricia A. Nadeau, Laura E. Clor, Peter J. Kelly, Peter Dotray, Jefferson Chang
2024, Nature Communications (15)
Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral chemistry that records the physical and spatio-temporal evolution of magmas fundamentally advances our ability to forecast eruptions. The recent eruption of Mauna Loa, Earth’s largest...
A methodology to estimate CO2 and energy gas storage resources in depleted conventional gas reservoirs
Matthew M. Jones, Ashton M. Wiens, Marc L. Buursink, Sean T. Brennan, Philip A. Freeman, Brian A. Varela, Joao S. Gallotti, Peter D. Warwick
2024, Conference Paper
Depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs are subsurface geological structures capable of sequestering vast quantities of carbon dioxide (CO2) as well as storing other energy gases for later usage, such as natural gas, and potentially hydrogen (H2). Here we outline a methodology to quantify multi-gas storage resources in depleted conventional gas reservoirs for...
Detection probabilities of Flathead Catfish in small Kansas impoundments
Brett T. Miller, Ben C. Neely, Connor J. Chance-Ossowski, Micah J. Waters, Vanessa Salazar, Lucas K. Kowalewski, Nicholas W. Kramer, Seth A. Lundgren, Jonathan J. Spurgeon
2024, Journal of Fish and Wildlife Management (15) 530-536
A primary challenge of Flathead Catfish Pylodictis olivaris management is uncertainty associated with sampling strategies and resulting ambiguity in population-level information. Assessment of impoundment and environmental conditions that affect detection probability may aid in reducing sample variance and benefit inferences regarding changes to Flathead Catfish populations. We sampled eight small impoundments in...
Trimming the UCERF3-TD logic tree: Model order reduction for an earthquake rupture forecast considering loss exceedance
Keith Porter, Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field
2024, Earthquake Spectra (41) 636-653
The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast version 3-Time Dependent depicts California’s seismic faults and their activity. Its logic tree has 5760 leaves. Considering 30 more model combinations related to ground motion produces 172,800 distinct models representing so-called epistemic uncertainties. To calculate risk to a portfolio of buildings, one also considers...
A decade of shaking in the Garden City: The dynamics of preparedness, perceptions, and beliefs in Canterbury, New Zealand, and implications for earthquake information
Julia S. Becker, Emma E. Hudson-Doyle, Lauren Vinnell, Sara K. McBride, Douglas Paton, David A. Johnston
2024, Frontiers Communication - Disaster Communications (9)
This study explored earthquake preparedness over time - before, during, and 10 years after the Canterbury Earthquake Sequence (CES) in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ). Surveys of Canterbury residents were conducted in 2009, 2013 and again in 2021, using variables derived from Community Engagement Theory (CET). The surveys measured earthquake...
Inset groundwater-flow models for the Cache and Grand Prairie Critical Groundwater Areas, northeastern Arkansas
Jonathan P. Traylor, Leslie L. Duncan, Andrew T. Leaf, Alec R. Weisser, Benjamin J. Dietsch, Moussa Guira
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5088
The water resources in the Mississippi alluvial plain, located in parts of Missouri, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Arkansas, supports a multibillion-dollar agricultural industry that relies heavily on pumping of groundwater for irrigation of crops and aquaculture. The primary source of groundwater for agricultural-related pumping is the Mississippi River Valley...
Peak streamflow trends in South Dakota and their relation to changes in climate, water years 1921–2020
Nancy A. Barth, Steven K. Sando
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2023-5064-I
Peak-flow (flood) frequency analysis is essential to water-resources management applications, including the design of critical infrastructure such as bridges and culverts, and floodplain mapping. Federal guidelines for performing peak-flow flood frequency analyses are presented in a U.S. Geological Survey Techniques and Methods Report known as Bulletin 17C. A basic assumption...
Deep syntectonic burial of the Anthracite belt, Eastern Pennsylvania
Mark A. Evans, Aaron M. Jubb
2024, International Journal of Coal Geology (295)
Fluid inclusion microthermometry and Raman spectroscopy of fluid inclusions in quartz veins from the Pennsylvanian rocks of the Anthracite belt, eastern Pennsylvania support a deep burial model of coalification in favor of focused orogenic hot fluid flow. High-temperature (250 to 255 °C) trapping of CH4 ± CO2 saturated aqueous fluids and CH4 ± CO2 inclusions indicate fluid...
Biological feasibility of introducing bighorn sheep to the Jicarilla Apache Nation
Cara J. Thompson, James W. Cain III
2024, Cooperator Science Series CSS-159-2024
The biological feasibility of introducing Rocky Mountain bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis canadensis) to the Dulce area of the Jicarilla Apache Nation (JAN) depends on availability and condition of potential habitat and the potential for disease risk, as pneumonia is the largest current threat to wild sheep populations. We modeled quality...
Effects of release strategy, source population, and age on reintroduced scaled quail reproduction
Rebekah E. Ruzicka, Dale Rollins, William L. Kendall, Paul F. Doherty Jr.
2024, Journal of Wildlife Management (88)
Translocation is one strategy to reestablish populations of scaled quail (Callipepla squamata). Initial reproductive success post-translocation is important for establishing short-lived species such as quail, but factors influencing reproductive success are poorly understood. We evaluated the effect of source population and variation in delayed release strategy (1−9 weeks) on nest...
Upper Mississippi River System hydrogeomorphic change conceptual model and hierarchical classification
Faith A. Fitzpatrick, James T. Rogala, Jon S. Hendrickson, Lucie Sawyer, Jayme Stone, Susannah Erwin, Edward J. Brauer, Angus Vaughan
2024, Open-File Report 2024-1051
Understanding the geomorphic processes and causes for long-term hydrogeomorphic changes along the Upper Mississippi River System (UMRS) is necessary for scientific studies ranging from habitat needs assessments, sediment transport, and nutrient processing, and making sound management decisions and prioritizing ecological restoration activities. From 2018 through 2020 the U.S. Geological Survey...
Depths in a day - A new era of rapid-response Raman-based barometry using fluid inclusions
Charlotte DeVitre, Penny E. Wieser, Alexander T. Bearden, Araela Richie, Berenise Rangel, Matthew Gleeson, John Grimsich, Kendra J. Lynn, Drew T. Downs, Natalia I. Deligne, Katherine M. Mulliken
2024, Journal of Petrology (65)
Rapid-response petrological monitoring is a major advance for volcano observatories, allowing them to build and validate models of plumbing systems that supply eruptions in near-real-time. The depth of magma storage has recently been identified as high-priority information for volcanic observatories, yet this information is not currently obtainable via petrological monitoring...
Potential corrosivity of untreated groundwater in Louisiana
Angela L. Robinson
2024, Scientific Investigations Report 2024-5035
Corrosive groundwater can cause lead, copper, and other metals to leach from pipes and plumbing fixtures in water distribution systems. Metals, if ingested, could lead to serious health implications to the nearly 2.9 million people in Louisiana who obtain their drinking water from groundwater sources. Four indices—the Langelier Saturation Index...
Neogene hydrothermal Fe- and Mn-oxide mineralization of Paleozoic continental rocks, Amerasia Basin, Arctic Ocean
James R. Hein, Kira Mizell, Amy Gartman
2024, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems (25)
Rocks dredged from water depths of 1,605, 2,500, 3,300, and 3,400 m in the Arctic Ocean included Paleozoic continental rocks pervasively mineralized during the Neogene by hydrothermal Fe and Mn oxides. Samples were recovered in three dredge hauls from the Chukchi Borderland and one from Mendeleev Ridge north of Alaska and...
Assessing and implementing the concept of Blue Economy in Laurentian Great Lakes fisheries: Lessons from coupled human and natural systems
Andrew Kenneth Carlson, Nancy J. Leonard, Mohiuddin Munawar, William W. Taylor
2024, Aquatic Ecosystem Health & Management (27) 74-84
Inland fisheries often receive little to no attention in global discussions about sustainable development. The consequences of overlooking inland fisheries in sustainability dialogues are increasingly problematic as fisheries stressors (e.g., overharvest, species invasion, climate change, habitat modification) intensify. Elevating the global profile of inland fisheries requires an approach for quantifying...
Insights on arc magmatic systems drawn from natural melt inclusions and crystallization experiments at PH2O=800 MPa under oxidizing conditions
Janine L. Andrys, Elizabeth Cottrell, Katherine A. Kelley, Laura E. Waters, Michelle L. Coombs
2024, Journal of Petrology (65)
Whole rock compositions at Buldir Volcano, western Aleutian arc, record a strong, continuous trend of iron depletion with decreasing MgO, classically interpreted as a calc-alkaline liquid line of descent. In contrast, olivine-hosted melt inclusions have higher total iron (FeO*) than whole rocks and show little change in FeO* with decreasing...
River suspended-sand flux computation with uncertainty estimation using water samples and high-resolution ADCP measurements
Jessica Marggraf, Guillaume Dramais, Jerome Le Coz, Blaise Calmel, Benoit Camenen, David J. Topping, William Santini, Gilles Pierrefeu, François Lauters
2024, Earth Surface Dynamics (12) 1243-1266
Measuring suspended-sand fluxes in rivers remains a scientific challenge due to their high spatial and temporal variability. To capture the vertical and lateral gradients of concentration in the cross-section, measurements with point samples are performed. However, the uncertainty related to these measurements is rarely evaluated, as few studies of the...
Reducing uncertainty with iterative model updating parses effects of competition and environment on salamander occupancy
Jo Avital Werba, Graziella Vittoria DiRenzo, Adrianne Brand, Evan H. Campbell Grant
2024, Oecologia (206) 305-316
Making timely management decisions is often hindered by uncertainty. Monitoring reduces two key types of uncertainty. First, it serves to reduce structural uncertainty of how the system works and provides support for expectations of how a system works. Second, it serves to reduce parametric uncertainty of the drivers of system...
Ceanothus: Taxonomic patterns in life history responses to fire
Jon Keeley, V. Thomas Parker, Paul H. Zedler, R. Brandon Pratt
2024, American Journal of Botany (111)
Premise: Ceanothus (Rhamnaceae) is a large genus of shrubs that dominate California chaparral and are resilient to fires. Persistence is ensured by resprouting and/or seedling recruitment from dormant seed banks. Some species do both and others, the obligate seeders, are entirely dependent on seedling recruitment. The distribution of these two modes...
Advancing water security in Africa with new high-resolution discharge data
Komlavi Akpoti, Naga Manohar Velpuri, Naoki Mizukami, Stefanie Kagone, Mansoor Leh, Kirubel Mekonnen, Afua Owusu, Primrose Tinonetsana, Michael Phiri, Lahiru Madushanka, Tharindu Perera, Paranamana T. Prabhath, Gabriel Edwin Lee Parrish, Gabriel B. Senay, Abdulkarim Seid
2024, Scientific Data (11)
VegDischarge v1 is a comprehensive river discharge across Africa (2000–2021), produced by coupling the agro-hydrologic VegET model and the mizuRoute routing framework. Using remote sensing data and hydrological modeling, the 1-km runoff field simulated by VegET, and routed with mizuRoute, covers over 64,000 river segments in Africa. The VegET model...
Long-term trends in abundance and potential drivers for eight species of coastal birds in the U.S. South Atlantic
J.K. Craig, K.I. Siegfried, R.T. Cheshire, M. Karnauskas, Patrick G.R. Jodice
2024, Regional Studies in Marine Science (80)
The U.S. South Atlantic coastal region is used by many marine birds for foraging, reproduction, and migration. We developed standardized indices of relative abundance from long–term (1980–2016), semi-structured monitoring data (eBird) for eight species: Brown Pelican (Pelecanus occidentalis), Double-Crested Cormorant (Nannopterum auritum), White Ibis (Eudocimus albus), Wood Stork (Mycteria americana),...
The state of the science and practice of stream restoration in the Chesapeake: Lessons learned to inform better implementation, assessment and outcomes
Gregory E. Noe, Neely Law, Joel Berger, Solange Filoso, Sadie Drescher, L. Fraley-McNeal, Ben Hayes, Paul Mayer, Chris Ruck, Bill Stack, Rich Starr, Scott Stranko, Tess Thompson
2024, STAC Workshop Report 24-006
The Chesapeake Bay Program’s (CBP) Science and Technical Advisory Committee (STAC) organized and led a workshop on the science and practice of stream restoration in order to summarize the state of knowledge in order to identify ways to improve stream restoration outcomes. The workshop identified a general framework for explaining...