American kestrel population trends and vital rates at the continental scale
Paige E. Howell, Abigail Jean Lawson, Davis Kristin P., Guthrie S. Zimmerman, Orin J. Robinson, Matthew A. Boggie, Mitchell J. Eaton, Fitsum Abadi, Jessi L. Brown, Julie A. Heath, John A. Smallwood, Karen Steenhof, Ted Swem, Brian W. Rolek, Christopher J.W. McClure, Jean-Francois Therrien, Karl E. Miller, Brian A. Milsap
2026, Ecosphere (17)
The American kestrel (Falco sparverius, hereafter referred to as kestrel) has declined across much of its North American range since at least the mid-1960s. Kestrel population dynamics have been explored through a multitude of local studies and two broad reviews of available data. Across large geographic extents, however, the demographic...
Diverse cyanopeptides follow distinct temporal succession patterns in freshwater harmful algal blooms
Lauren N. Hart, Reagan Errera, Casey Godwin, Keith Loftin, Zachary R. Laughrey, Leon R. Katona, Emma C. Johnson, Rose M. Cory, E. Anders Kiledal, Paul Den Uyl, Jenan J. Kharbush, David H. Sherman, Gregory J. Dick
2026, The ISME Journal (20)
Toxic cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cyanoHABs) threaten freshwater resources globally and are intensifying with increasing eutrophication. Bloom toxicity is strongly influenced by intraspecific variation in the biosynthetic repertoires of toxic cyanobacteria, yet few studies examine the diversity of cyanobacterial cyanopeptides beyond hepatotoxic microcystins. To understand the dynamics and drivers of cyanopeptide...
Generating geochemical and mineralogy distributions of soil in the conterminous United States using Bayesian hierarchical spatial models
Kristin J. Bondo, Tiffany M. Wolf, W. David Walter
2026, MethodsX (16)
Characterizing geochemical and mineralogical soil distributions across large spatial extents is essential for understanding mineral resources, ecosystem processes, and environmental risks. Rasters of soil geochemical distributions for the conterminous United States, however, are limited. We present a Bayesian modeling workflow and tool for generating predictive geochemical and...
Seasonal drivers of density in a subarctic population of northern red-backed voles
Sarah Swanson, Melanie J. Flamme, Joshua H. Schmidt, Shawn M. Crimmins, Carl A. Roland, Knut Kielland
2026, Ecology and Evolution (16)
Northern red-backed voles (Clethrionomys rutilus) are an important species in the boreal forest ecosystem, both as herbivores and as a key food source for many mammalian and avian predators. They exhibit dramatic inter- and intra-annual population fluctuations, for which causes are not entirely known. We monitored northern...
Artificial intelligence strategy for the U.S. Geological Survey
Janice M. Gordon, Alison P. Appling, Alfredo Aretxabaleta, John F. Bechtell, Thomas E. Burley, Janet M. Carter, Peter C. Esselman, Jason C. Fisher, Graham W. Lederer, James M. Mitchell, Neal J. Pastick, Jake Weltzin, Tim Woods
2026, Circular 1562
Artificial intelligence (AI) can offer opportunities to enhance the science, science delivery, and business operations of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Although USGS staff have proactively adopted AI into our workflows for many years, a comprehensive USGS strategy for AI has not previously been developed. The strategy described here is...
Assessing natural recharge in Indian Wells Valley, California: A Basin Characterization Model case study
Dina Saleh, Lorraine E. Flint, Michelle A. Stern
2026, Scientific Investigations Report 2026-5114
The communities in Indian Wells Valley (IWV), in the northern Mojave Desert in California, rely on groundwater for domestic and agricultural use. Mountain front recharge from the surrounding Sierra Nevada is the main source of natural recharge to the valley. Increased urbanization, agricultural development, and groundwater pumping during recent decades...
A comparison of non-contact methods for measuring turbidity in the Colorado River
Natalie K. Day, Tyler V. King, Adam R. Mosbrucker
2026, Remote Sensing (18)
Monitoring suspended-sediment concentration (SSC) is essential to better understand how sediment transport could adversely affect water availability for human communities and ecosystems. Aquatic remote sensing methods are increasingly utilized to estimate SSC and turbidity in rivers; however, an evaluation of their quantitative performance is limited. This study evaluates the performance...
Channel change and sediment transport in the Puyallup River watershed through 2022
Scott W. Anderson
2026, Preprint
The Puyallup River drains a 990 square mile watershed in western Washington, with headwaters on the glacier-covered flanks of Mount Rainier. Major tributaries include the White, Carbon, and Mowich Rivers. In the levee-confined reaches of the lower watershed, loss of flood conveyance due to sand and gravel deposition has been...
Decreased water transparency of nearshore Laurentian Great Lakes habitats is driven by increased dissolved organic carbon.
Nicole Lynn Berry, David B. Bunnell, Thomas J. Fisher, Erin P. Overholt, Elizabeth M. Mette, Todd Howell, Craig E. Williamson
2026, Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences (83) 1-9
Little is understood of lake browning (due to increased dissolved organic carbon; DOC) in large lakes such as the Laurentian Great Lakes. Lake browning can alter whole lake ecosystems, including decreasing exposure to damaging ultraviolet radiation (UV-B) which is strongly and selectively attenuated by DOC more so...
Action in uncertainty: Data-driven decisions that acknowledge emotional responses and transcendental connections
Nicole K. Ward, Kelly G. Guilbeau, Amanda L. Sesser, Abigail J. Lynch
2026, ESA Bulletin (107)
The increasing uncertainty with global change often stifles action and results in calls for more data before moving beyond status quo environmental decisions (Mahapatra & Ratha 2017; Ripple et al. 2017; Montefalcone et al. 2025). Advancing science and collecting more data is crucial; however, science alone (i.e., “western” or “positivist”...
Rising atmospheric CO2 reduces nitrogen availability in boreal forests
Kelley R. Bassett, Stefan F. Hupperts, Sandra Jämtgård, Lars Östlund, Jonas Fridman, Steven S. Perakis, Michael J. Gundale
2026, Nature 629-635
Anthropogenic nitrogen (N) pollution has been emphasized as a cause of eutrophication globally. However, several recent datasets have suggested widespread oligotrophication may be occurring in some ecosystems, which is suggested to be a response to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (eCO2). Plant δ15N chronologies have served as primary evidence for oligotrophication,...
A targeted approach for mapping groundwater discharge to surface water and fish thermal refuge in four Lake Ontario tributaries
Joshua C. Woda, Neil C. Terry, David J Kelley, Jason S. Finkelstein, Christopher L. Gazoorian, James E. McKenna Jr.
2026, Hydrologic Processes (40)
The duration, magnitude, and frequency of heatwaves are predicted to increase in the coming decades, a combination that can reduce the survival of many fish species. Across the world, there is broad interest in identifying thermal refuge for heat-intolerant fish species and exploring opportunities to enhance or protect these areas....
Preliminary bedrock geologic map of the Port Henry quadrangle, Essex County, New York, and Addison County, Vermont
Peter M. Valley, Mercer Parker, Gregory J. Walsh, Randall C. Orndorff, Matt S. Walton Jr., E. Allen Crider, Jr.
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1062
Introduction The bedrock geology of the 7.5-minute Port Henry quadrangle consists of deformed and metamorphosed Mesoproterozoic gneisses of the Adirondack Highlands unconformably overlain by weakly deformed lower Paleozoic sedimentary rocks of the Champlain Valley. The Mesoproterozoic rocks occur on the eastern edge of the Adirondack Highlands and represent an extension of...
Genomics reveals extensive population structure and undescribed phylogenetic relationships in the Cascade torrent salamander (Rhyacotriton cascadae)
Christopher D Cousins, Deanna H Olson, Lindsay S Millward, Michael J. Adams, Christopher Pearl, Jennifer Rowe, Tiffany S Garcia
2026, Journal of Biogeography (53)
AimAims of the study are to examine patterns of range-wide genetic differentiation and population structure in a headwater obligate salamander living in a geologically rich region, to identify genetically distinct populations and areas of gene flow between them.LocationOregon and Washington in the Pacific Northwest,...
Characterizing operational signatures of reservoirs with the SWOT satellite by comparing natural lake and reservoir dynamics
Ryan Matthew Riggs, Jesse E. Dickinson, Craig B. Brinkerhoff, Md. Safat Sikder, Jida Wang, Huilin Gao, George H. Allen
2026, Environmental Research Letters (21)
Due to a lack of management operations data, hydrological models may represent reservoirs as natural lakes, leading to poor discharge predictions in regulated basins. To parse seasonal operational signatures, we compare the dynamics of natural lake and reservoir systems across North America using Surface Water and Ocean...
Environment, taxonomy, and socioeconomics predict non-imperilment in freshwater fishes
Christina Amy Murphy, J. Andres Olivos, Ivan Arismendi, Emili García-Berthou, Sherri L. Johnson, Jason Dunham
2026, Nature Communications (17)
Freshwater fishes are among the most threatened taxa, yet conservation assessments remain incomplete for many species. Freshwater fishes provide essential ecosystem services such as food security, recreational opportunities, and cultural significance. Despite heavy alterations to freshwater ecosystems, the reasons for species’ sensitivity and resistance to imperilment are...
Vulnerability of mangrove resources to sea-level rise on Sanibel Island, Florida, USA
Kevin J. Buffington, Ken W. Krauss, Karen M. Thorne, Jeremy R. Conrad, Judith Z. Drexler, Zhiliang Zhu
2026, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science (333)
Accelerating sea-level rise (SLR) is poised to reshape coastal environments over the coming decades, providing a challenge to land managers who need actionable information. Mangroves have an innate ability to keep pace with some SLR but may drown under the higher rates projected by the end of...
Effects of groundwater withdrawals for water bottling and municipal use, Wards Brook Valley, Maine and New Hampshire
John R Mullaney, Janet R. Barclay, Jennifer S. Stanton, Carl S Carlson, Madeleine Holland
2026, Preprint
Hydrologic models for the Wards Brook valley near Fryeburg, Maine were developed for historical (2016 – 2021) and hypothetical future conditions (2046 – 2065 and 2080 – 2099) to understand the effects of groundwater withdrawals for bottled water and municipal use on hydrologic conditions (stream base flows and groundwater levels)....
Habitat-based predictions of bridle shiner (Notropis bifrenatus) in the northeastern U.S.
Lara S. Katz, Stephen M. Coghlan Jr., Matthew A. Carpenter, Michael T. Kinnison, Joseph D. Zydlewski
2026, Ecology and Evolution (16)
We sought to assess bridle shiner (Notropis bifrenatus) habitat associations at local and regional scales across southern Maine and New Hampshire. We used local habitat data at 95 Maine sites to predict occupancy with classification and regression trees (CART). We then used ensemble species distribution models (SDMs)...
Experimental translocation of a rare Hawaiian tree reveals disparity between remnant and potential habitat
Julia Douglas, Mingzhou Bai, Lucas Berio Fortini, Stephanie G. Yelenik, Nina Rønsted
2026, Biological Conservation (316)
Translocation is implemented worldwide as a conservation strategy for rare and endangered plant species, yet the factors that influence long-term success remain poorly understood. Remnant wild populations are often used as indicators to model habitat preference and select translocation sites, but such populations may be refugia from past biological or...
Intraspecific contact among white-tailed deer: A literature review and chronic wasting disease case study
Nathaniel H. Wehr, Kristin J. Bondo, Christopher S. Rosenberry, David Stainbrook, Bret D. Wallingford, W. David Walter
2026, Ecology and Evolution (16)
White-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) are a valuable game mammal in the eastern United States necessitating detailed understanding of disease transmission. We conducted a literature review on intraspecific contact (i.e., interactions wherein disease transmission may occur) among deer. From 69 studies, we identified five themes underlying research on...
Multiple-well monitoring site adjacent to the Midway- Sunset and Buena Vista Oil Fields, Kern County, California
Rhett R. Everett, Janice M. Gillespie, Riley Gannon, Anthony A. Brown, Andrew Morita
2026, Preprint
Groundwater quality in and around oil fields in the Southern San Joaquin Valley is of interest to many California residents that rely heavily on groundwater for domestic, commercial, and agricultural use. To help assess the effects of historical oil-field activities and natural geologic sources on groundwater near the southwest margins...
Hierarchical mixture models and high-resolution monitoring data can inform siting and operational strategies to mitigate bat fatalities at wind turbines
Charles J. Labuzzetta, Arnold (Contractor) Johnsen, Amber Andress, Teresa Bohner, Alejandro Grajal-Puche, Megan Seymour, Bethany R. Straw, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Bradley James Udell, Ashton M. Wiens, James E. Diffendorfer
2026, Ecological Informatics (94)
Bats provide critical ecosystem services, but bat fatalities due to wind energy development may imperil some bat populations. Statistical models are used to estimate the total fatalities that occur based on carcasses observed during monitoring surveys. Current models often estimate fatalities aggregated across species, time, and/or turbines, but fall short...
Preface to the focus section on intraplate earthquakes
Trevor I. Allen, Susan E. Hough, Oliver S. Boyd, Felix Waldhauser, Marcelo Assumpcao
2026, Seismological Research Letters (97) 619-625
More than a half century after plate tectonics provided an overarching framework to explain earthquakes along active plate boundaries, numerous theories have been proposed to explain where, why, and how often earthquakes occur well away from active plate boundaries, but a paradigm remains elusive. Even the classification of earthquakes away...
Stepovers and beyond: Structural control of The Geysers geothermal system and the broader Clear Lake region
Benjamin L. Melosh
2026, Conference Paper
Fault geometry exerts a first-order control on geothermal systems by governing stress localization, fracture development, and permeability, yet in complex fault networks or broader shear zones, the relative influence of individual geometric features is often difficult to resolve. In the northern California Coast Ranges, The Geysers geothermal field is commonly...