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Spatial units to support Lake Erie Cisco Coregonus artedi restoration
Joshua P. Egan, Amanda Susanne Ackiss, Andrew M. Muir
2026, Report
At the request of the Lake Erie Committee, spatial units for Lake Erie Cisco were delineated during spring 2024. Spatial units correspond to the reproductive habitat of extirpated (unoccupied spatial units) and extant (occupied spatial units) populations. Spatial units were delineated using a Council of Lake Committees-endorsed method that involves...
The effects of scientific uncertainty and values trade-offs on flow management decisions for an endangered fish
Brian Mahardja, William E. Smith, Brian D. Healy, Cameron Koizumi, Matthew L. Nobriga, Shawn Acuña, Brian A. Crawford, Kristin K. Arend, Michael C. Runge
2026, Ecosphere (17)
Consumptive use of freshwater is of concern in many estuarine ecosystems, and various frameworks have been used to prescribe environmental flows to benefit native species. However, few of these frameworks explicitly examine the potential trade-offs between socioeconomic and conservation-oriented values. This is exemplified in California, USA, where freshwater management has...
Finding the (small) cores: Spatial covariance tracks grassland bird community occupancy in fragmented grasslands
Lauren L. Berry, Brett Alexander DeGregorio, Daniel R. Uden, Caleb Powell Roberts
2026, Ecosphere (17)
Grasslands are an imperiled ecosystem, and grassland bird abundance is declining across North America. One of the strongest drivers for these declines is woody plant encroachment of grasslands. In the Great Plains and Sagebrush biomes of North America, spatial covariance—a remote-sensing metric for tracking boundaries between vegetation...
Groundwater drought in the United States: Spatial and temporal variability
Glenn Hodgkins, Caelan Simeone, Melissa A. Lombard, Todd Caldwell, John C. Hammond, Michael Wieczorek, Robert W. Dudley
2026, Journal of Hydrology (671)
Many communities and ecosystems in the United States that are dependent on groundwater are potentially adversely affected by groundwater drought. We computed yearly groundwater-drought metrics and mean groundwater levels at well locations across the conterminous United States (CONUS), using data from wells and remotely sensed and modeled Gravity Recovery and...
Small-volume tephra deposits of the May 1924 explosions from Halemaʻumaʻu, Kīlauea volcano, and their origin
Drew T. Downs, Johanne Schmith, Julie Chang, Kendra J. Lynn, Don Swanson, Ben Gaddis, Ashton F. Flinders
2026, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research (473)
More than 50 explosive eruptions occurred from Halemaʻumaʻu at Kīlauea volcano over 17 days from May 11 to 27, 1924. Ballistics weighing as much as 14,000 kg were ejected and most landed within 2 km of the vent. Fine ash made up a major component of the tephra and was dispersed...
Are mobile device location data a substitute for travel cost surveys?
Jude Bayham, Aaron Joey Enriquez, Leslie Richardson
2026, Land Economics
Mobile device location data offer a low-cost alternative for measuring visitation to outdoor recreation sites and are known to correlate with official visitation counts. Less is known about whether these data can recover recreation demand and consumer surplus comparable to surveybased methods. We compare travel cost models estimated using mobile...
Hydrologic variability drives environmental and geospatial relationships in Smallmouth Bass (Micropterus dolomieu) distribution
Sarah F. Sorensen, J. Tyler Fox, Daniel D. Magoulick
2026, Science of the Total Environment (1025)
Hydrologic variation is a primary driver of stream ecosystems. Changing hydrology can lead to assemblage shifts and alterations in suitable habitat for freshwater species. As climate change is predicted to alter flow patterns in addition to increasing water temperatures, insight into relationships between species occupancy, hydrology, and...
Alternative future vegetation pathways reveal potential transformations of western US ecosystems
Tyler J. Hoecker, Kimberley T. Davis, Caitlin E. Littlefield, Jeffrey C Chandler, Sean A. Parks, Andy John Maguire, Kerry Kemp, Svetlana Yegorova, Solomon Dobrowski
2026, Global Change Biology (32)
Managing ecosystems in an era of rapid change is inherently challenging not only because of uncertainty in future climate but also due to diverse responses of ecosystems to climate. Projections of ecological transformation alongside information about plausible vegetation trajectories can help land managers explore divergent scenarios and consider how modeled...
Satellite time series analysis to quantify changing climax ciénegas using a state and transition model approach
Laura M. Norman, Roy E. Petrakis, Natalie R. Wilson, Barry R. Middleton, Miguel L. Villarreal, Michael Pollock, Thomas A. Minckley, Dean Hendrickson
2026, Ecological Indicators (184)
Ciénegas are rare wetlands in arid landscapes of the North American Southwest, historically providing critical ecological and hydrological functions but increasingly threatened by changing climate and land use pressures. This study quantifies changes in ciénega condition and floodplain dynamics using a state-and-transition model (STM) informed by expert...
Evaluation of turbidity corrections for EXO fluorescent dissolved organic matter (fDOM) sensors
Jacob Fleck, Tim James Baxter, Angela Hansen
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1063
Executive Summary The use of field-deployable fluorescence sensors to better understand dissolved organic matter concentrations and composition has grown immensely in recent years. Applications of these sensors to critical monitoring efforts have also grown, encompassing post-fire monitoring, wastewater tracking, and use as a proxy for various contaminants. Despite the growth, it...
Evaluating alternative methods for modeling trap efficiencies of out-migrating juvenile salmonids
M. A. Walden, Nicholas A Som
2026, North American Journal of Fisheries Management (46) 478-494
ObjectiveWe aimed to compare two machine learning approaches—boosted beta regression (BBR) and beta mixed model forest (BMF)—to a Bayesian mixed-effects beta regression (BME) for the prediction of rotary screw trap (RST) efficiency for out-migrating juvenile salmonids from environmental covariates.MethodsWe identified two machine...
Assessing environmental drivers of denitrification in restored riverine floodplains
Danielle Winter Lay, Sara W. McMillan, Jacob D. Hosen, Sayan Dey, Gregory E. Noe
2026, Journal of Ecological Engineering Design (4)
Restoration of impaired floodplains is an increasingly prevalent strategy for alleviating water quality concerns and reducing downstream flooding at watershed scales. Floodplains temporarily store water and slow flow velocity to promote sedimentation during overbank flooding and remove inorganic nitrogen from floodwater and groundwater via denitrification. Evaluating the impacts of different...
Stream macroinvertebrate responses vary with region, land use and management practice type
Sergio A. Sabat-Bonilla, Abigail C. Belvin, Gregory E. Noe, Kelly O. Maloney, Emmanuel A. Frimpong, Paul L. Angermeier, Entrekin. Sally E.
2026, Journal of Environmental Management (403)
Intensive land use alters hydrology and water quality, threatening freshwater benthic macroinvertebrates. Over 200,000 management practices (MPs) have been implemented across the Chesapeake Bay watershed since the 1980s, yet biological responses remain inconsistent. We synthesized 29 studies from 4 physiographic provinces covering 8 MP categories and evaluated macroinvertebrate responses along MP...
Working group on American Eel (WGAMEEL; outputs from 2024 meeting)
Julien April, Kristen A. Anstead, Philippe Brodeur, David K. Cairns, Martin Castonguay, Matthew Cieri, Brian Jessop, Amelie D'Astous, Shelly Denny, Jean-Francois Dumont, Sheila Eyler, Marten A. Koops, Laura Lee, Louis Landry-Massicote, Robby Maxwell, Thomas Pratt, Scott M. Reid, Scott Roloson, Scott L. Schlueter, Shawn Snyder, John A. Young
Kristen A. Anstead, Thomas Pratt, editor(s)
2026, Report
The Working Group on American Eel (WGAMEEL) met virtually three times in 2022-2024 to address the five Terms of Reference (ToRs) of its three-year term. The first two ToRs tasked WGAMEEL with listing and evaluating data on American eel landings, abundance indices, and spatial and habitat data and also...
A framework for integrating spatiotemporal deep learning methods with landsat for annual land cover and impervious surface mapping
Rylie Fleckenstein, Danika Fay Wellington, Suming Jin, Heather J. Tollerud, Jesslyn F. Brown, Jon Dewitz, Neal J. Pastick, Christopher P. Barber, Austin O'Brien, Mark Spanier
2026, Remote Sensing of Environment (338)
Land cover information is essential for understanding Earth’s surface dynamics and how vegetation, water, soil, climate, and terrain interact. The National Land Cover Database (NLCD) has been the authoritative source for consistent U.S. land cover mapping. To extend NLCD’s temporal resolution and reduce production latency, we developed the...
Stochastic within-host dynamics and climate-sensitive traits generate predictable patterns of variation in disease outcomes
Andrew Carlino, Malina Mariko Loeher, David James Páez, Paul Hershberger, Nathan Wolf, Joseph R. Mihaljevic
2026, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B (381)
Understanding how climatic variables impact host-pathogen relationships in temperature-sensitive ectothermic host organisms is crucial under global change. Few studies have explored how temperature gradients generate inter-individual variation in epidemiological traits like host susceptibility or pathogen replication. Here, we develop a mathematical model to explore a novel hypothesis: stochastic within-host dynamics...
Fragmentation as a population rate-changer: A field experiment
James D. Nichols, James E. Hines, Robert L. Hinz, Janet Hinz
2026, Ecology (107)
Experimental and observational studies of effects of fragmentation on biodiversity and population dynamics have produced mixed results, with some reviews concluding strong evidence of negative effects and others concluding small positive effects. In addition, many factors (e.g., interspecific interactions, edge effects, nutrient cycling) have been identified as potential explanations underlying...
Measuring storm waves and water levels from a fixed structure with a rapidly deployable oceanographic radar
Jenna A. Brown, Bryce J McClenney, Patrick J. Dickhudt
2026, Conference Paper
A new oceanographic radar instrument package was developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to measure storm waves and water levels in the nearshore, capable of being deployed rapidly and transmitting data in near real-time. To test the performance and accuracy of the sensor, multiple years of data were collected...
Who needs closure? Estimating abundance with a Markovian availability model for geographically open removal sampling
Russell W. Perry, Adam C. Pope, A. Noble Hendrix, Joseph E. Kirsch, Bryan G. Matthias, Michael J. Dodrill
2026, Ecology (107)
Removal sampling is an important method for estimating abundance, but nearly all removal models assume closure during sampling. Yet, closure may be difficult to assume, evaluate, or enforce in many settings. To address situations where populations are geographically open between each removal sample, we incorporated a Markovian...
The impacts of co-circulating pathogens in Pacific herring depend on interactions between viral life-cycle traits and transmission parameters, highlighting interdependencies between pathogen epizootics
David James Páez, Courtney Ann Grady, Jacob L. Gregg, William N. Batts, Shayla Ferreiro-Luce, V. L. Herron, Malina Mariko Loeher, Sarah Williamson, Paul Hershberger
2026, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B (381)
The average host susceptibility decreases as the epizootic progresses because easily infected hosts are first removed from the population. While host susceptibility is pathogen-specific, it is likely that host susceptibility is correlated between different pathogens, so that co-circulating pathogens may have reciprocal impacts on their epidemics. However, despite well-documented examples...
Comparison of nonlethal techniques as indicators of lipid content in Lake Whitefish
Tyler Reid Funnell, Jenus Shrestha, Rachel R. Leads, Christopher M. Holbrook, Koji Sano, Cheryl A. Murphy
2026, Transactions of the American Fisheries Society (155) 300-308
ObjectiveEnergetic reserves are important indicators of the relative health of fish and fish populations. Body condition indices that relate fish weight to length are commonly used as quick, noninvasive methods for approximating lipid content and condition. A microwave meter (i.e., fat meter or energy meter) is a noninvasive method found...
From understanding to action: Integrating new and old methodologies to manage marine infectious disease
Maya L. Groner, David James Páez, Alyssa-Lois M. Gehman
2026, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B (381)
Marine diseases can have far-reaching effects on population, community and ecosystem health; however, our ability to track, predict and manage these diseases has, historically, been poor. As a result, the fields of disease ecology and epidemiology have developed at a slower pace for marine than terrestrial systems [<a class="link link-ref...
Changing drivers of regional large magnitude avalanche frequency throughout Colorado, USA
Erich H. Peitzsch, Justin T. Martin, Ethan M. Greene, Nicolas Eckert, Adrien Favillier, Jason Konigsberg, Nickolas Kichas, Daniel K. Stahle, Karl W. Birkeland, Kelly Elder, Gregory T. Pederson
2026, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (26) 1059-1074
Large magnitude snow avalanches (destructive size ≥ D3) impact settlements, transportation corridors, and public safety worldwide. In Colorado, United States, avalanches have killed more people than any other natural hazard since 1950. In March 2019, a large magnitude avalanche cycle occurred throughout the entire mountainous portion of Colorado resulting in more...
Evaluation of pathogen risks and testing considerations for Chinook salmon egg movements between New Zealand and California
Claire E. Couch, David B. Powell, Jan Lovy
2026, Open-File Report 2026-1065
Executive Summary Oncorhynchus tshawytscha (Walbaum in Artedi, 1792; Chinook salmon) were historically abundant in the McCloud River but are now extirpated from this tributary owing to dam construction and lack of passage. Planning efforts to restore populations above Shasta and Keswick Dams are currently underway, including an evaluation of potential source...
Stream sediment sources in Medicine Creek, northern Missouri and southern Iowa
Jessica D. Garrett
2026, Scientific Investigations Report 2026-5121
This report presents the results of a cooperative study by the U.S. Geological Survey and Missouri Department of Natural Resources to quantify sediment transport source contributions in the Medicine Creek drainage basin. Understanding relative source contributions provides valuable information for selecting the conservation practices that may be most effective in...