Land change, fire, and climate weaken carbon sink in the conterminous U.S.
Jinxun Liu, Benjamin M. Sleeter, Zhiliang Zhu, Mark A. Cochrane, Qiang Zhou, Bin Wang, Grant Domke, Paul Selmants, Lisamarie Windham-Myers, Qiuan Zhu, Tamara Wilson, Kristin Byrd, Eric Ward, Terry Sohl, Todd Hawbaker, Zhen Zhang, Christopher Soulard, Kimberly Wickland, Robert G. Striegl
2025, Science Advances (11)
The land carbon sink of the conterminous United States was evaluated using a bottom-up modeling framework and 30-meter land change data from 1985 to 2020. This cross-scale, cross-landscape, and cross-system approach tracked fractional land cover changes and applied regional model calibration. Results show average terrestrial and aquatic carbon sinks of +110 ±...
Potential for continental scientific drilling to inform fault mechanics and earthquake science
Elizabeth S. Cochran, Natalia Zakharova, Brett Carpenter, Folarin Kolawole, Nicholas W. Hayman, Hiroki Sone, Douglas R. Schmitt, Peter Eichhubl, William Ellsworth, Yves Guglielmi, Stephen H. Hickman, Harold J. Tobin
2025, Seismica (4)
Our understanding of fault mechanics and earthquake processes remains limited, largely due to minimal direct observations near active faults at seismogenic depths. This lack of data restricts our ability to accurately assess and mitigate both natural and human-induced seismic hazards. However, recent advancements in drilling capabilities and...
Occurrence and surface availability of Siskiyou Mountains Salamanders (Plethodon stormi) and Scott Bar Salamanders (P. asupak) in northern California
Brian J. Halstead, Daniel Antonio Macias, Casey D. Moss, Patrick M. Kleeman, Jonathan P. Rose
2025, Herpetologica (81) 336-345
Estimating the distributions of cryptic species is essential for conservation, yet our understanding is hampered by animal behavior and imperfect detection. We developed and implemented a multiscale occupancy survey protocol to estimate the probability of occurrence, probability of being active on the surface, and detection probability of two range-restricted terrestrial...
Spatial distribution and relative biomass of bigheaded carps in Lake Balaton, Hungary estimated from an environmental DNA survey
Nora Boross, Ardo Laszlo, Duane C. Chapman, Gergely Boros, Zoltán Vitál, Viktor Tóth, Nathan Thompson, Katy E. Klymus, Catherine A. Richter
2025, PLoS ONE (20)
Silver carp (Hypophthalmichthys nobilis), bighead carp (H. molitrix) and their hybrids, collectively known as bigheaded carps, have been introduced to Lake Balaton, Hungary. The current stock sizes are difficult to assess. We investigated environmental DNA (eDNA) techniques targeted for bigheaded carps, assessed the spatial distribution of eDNA in Lake Balaton,...
Imaging hyporheic exchange by integrating deep learning and physics-informed inversion of time-lapse self-potential data
Huichao Yin, Scott Ikard, Dale F. Rucker, Scott C. Brooks, Zhenxue Dai, Kenneth C. Carroll
2025, Geophysical Research Letters (52)
Self-potential (SP) monitoring is increasingly used for subsurface flow characterization due to its sensitivity to hydrogeological and geochemical processes. However, SP inversion remains challenging due to its ill-posed nature, sparse data coverage, and strong transient noise. This study proposes a hybrid framework to image hyporheic exchange using a time-lapse SP...
Assessment of coastal and fluvial morphodynamic changes using Structure-for-Motion: A case study of the Sfȃntu Gheorghe Mouth (Danube Delta, Romania)
Andrei Gabriel Dragos, Gabriel Iordache, Florin Dutu, Monica Palaseanu-Lovejoy, Florin Pitea, Irina Stanciu, Adrian Stanica
2025, Conference Paper, Proceedings of Inżynieria Mineralna WMCEES 2025
The ability to accurately map erosion, flooding, and habitat loss in coastal environments is crucial for formulating national strategies aimed at preventing and mitigating the impacts of natural disasters. A fundamental component of this process is the implementation of coastal morphodynamics monitoring through Structure-from-Motion (SfM) techniques, utilizing high-resolution 2D/3D data...
Spring weather influences breeding propensity, the most important productivity component for Arctic-nesting lesser snow geese
Antti Piironen, Joshua L. Dooley, Vasiliy V. Baraynyuk, Jeffrey M. Knetter, Kyle A. Spragens, Alexander R. Schindler, Vijay P. Patil, Eric T. Reed, Adam C. Behney, Megan V. Ross, Todd A. Sanders, Mark J. Petrie, Mitch D. Weegman
2025, Proceedings of the Royal Society B (292)
Animal reproduction is composed of several stages, which collectively determine overall productivity. Yet, it is not fully understood how different productivity components contribute to population change. To bridge this gap, we leveraged integrated population modelling and transient life-table response experiments, together with population-level data on lesser snow...
Predicting secretive species distribution using Bayesian networks with and without expert elicitation: A case study incorporating double-blind peer review
Dustin E. Brewer, Elisabeth B. Webb, Anne E. Mini, S. Keith McKnight
2025, Ecological Solutions and Evidence (6)
1. Species that are secretive, imperilled and consequently data deficient often re-quire conservation action despite limited available information. In such scenarios, Bayesian networks (BNs) offer a versatile and intuitive approach for utilizing various information sources, including literature reviews, community science data sets and expert knowledge. Although it...
Changes in phosphorus concentration and flux from 2011 to 2023 in major U.S. tributaries to the Laurentian Great Lakes
Dustin William Kincaid, Matthew W. Diebel, Erin E. Bertke, Donald B. Bonville, G. F. Koltun, Dale M. Robertson, Luke C. Loken
2025, Journal of Great Lakes Research (51)
Reducing phosphorus (P) flux to the Great Lakes is critical for improving water quality and controlling eutrophication. We used 13 water years (2011–2023) of U.S. Geological Survey data from 24 major U.S. tributaries (representing 47% of the U.S. Great Lakes watershed area) to evaluate temporal changes in orthophosphate (PO4-P) and...
Analysis of trends in terrestrial vegetation at Mediterranean Coast Network Parks: Channel Islands National Park
Leigh Ann Starcevich, Christopher Murray, Lena F.S. Lee, Cameron B. Williams, Kathryn McEachern
2025, Science Report NPS/SR-2025/358
The five islands comprising Channel Islands National Park (CHIS) experience natural gradients in temperature and moisture driven by ocean currents. Additionally, the islands were used as ranchlands and military land before becoming a national park, resulting in widespread erosion and vegetation change. As a result, CHIS spans gradients in climate...
Evaluating Laramide orogenesis via flexural basin response in the San Juan basin, New Mexico and Colorado
Kurt Rudolph, Ryan J Leary, Tyson Michael Smith, Kristine L. Zellman
2025, Conference Paper, New Mexico Geological Society 75th annual fall field conference guidebook
A challenge in interpreting the location, timing, and magnitude of ancient orogenic events is that ongoing uplift and erosion in the hinterlands often destroys much of the primary record of these events. However, basin-thickness patterns in the sedimentary record can provide complimentary evidence of uplift via flexural effects. Here, we...
Ultralong, supershear rupture of the 2025 Mw 7.7 Mandalay earthquake reveals unaccounted risk
Dara Elyse Goldberg, William L. Yeck, Catherine Elise Hanagan, James William Atterholt, Haiyang Liam Kehoe, Nadine G. Reitman, William D. Barnhart, David R. Shelly, Alexandra Elise Hatem, David Wald, Paul S. Earle
2025, Science (390) 458-462
The 28 March 2025 moment magnitude (Mw) 7.7 earthquake in Mandalay, Burma (Myanmar), ruptured 475 kilometers of the Sagaing Fault, which was more than twice the length predicted by magnitude scaling relationships. Kinematic slip models and observation of a Rayleigh Mach wave that passed through parts of Thailand confirmed that...
A spatiotemporal interrogation of hydrologic drought model performance for machine learning model interpretability
Ali Dadkhah, Scott Douglas Hamshaw, Ryan van der Heijden, Donna M. Rizzo
2025, Water Resources Research (61)
The predictive accuracy of regional hydrologic models often varies across both time and space. Interpreting relationships between watershed characteristics, hydrologic regimes, and model performance can reveal potential areas for model improvement. In this study, we use machine learning to assess model performance of a regional hydrologic model to forecast the...
Earthquake stress-drop values delineate spatial variations in maximum shear stress in the Japanese forearc lithosphere
Gian Maria Bocchini, Armin Dielforder, Kilian B. Kemna, Rebecca M. Harrington, Elizabeth S. Cochran
2025, Communications Earth and Environment (6)
Earthquake stress drop (Δσ) may increase with depth and stress in the brittle lithosphere. However, the range of uncertainty in Δσ and the lack of constraints on absolute stress make it difficult to establish whether they are correlated. Here, we investigate Δσ dependence on depth and maximum...
Non-native bird populations respond differently to their environment and exhibit shifts in ecological niche limits across continents
Kristin P. Davis, Helen Sofaer, Henrik G. Smith, Henning Heldbjerg, Anna Gamero, Ainārs Auniņš, Lluís Brotons, Tomasz Chodkiewicz, Daniel Palm Eskildsen, Benoît Fontaine, John Atle Kålås, Primož Kmecl, Petras Kurlavičius, Aleksi Lehikoinen, Åke Lindström, Ingar Jostein Øien, Jiří Reif, Nicolas Strebel, Tibor Szép, Chris A.M. van Turnhout, Thomas Vikstrøm, Liba Pejchar
2025, Diversity and Distributions (31)
AimThe degree to which species' niches remain stable over space and time–the niche conservatism hypothesis–is critical for predicting species' responses to environmental change. Tests of this hypothesis typically focus on changes in niche centroids and boundaries. An outstanding question is whether species' environmental associations differ within the...
Application of fin tissue for nonlethal stable isotope analysis of small-bodied fishes
Wade M. Wilson, Jane S. Rogosch, Scott F. Collins, Bart W. Durham, Kevin B. Mayes, Sarah M. Robertson
2025, Environmental Biology of Fishes (108) 2181-2198
Stable isotopes are commonly used to characterize food web structure and resource use by aquatic organisms. White muscle is generally preferred for stable isotope analysis of fishes. However, obtaining white muscle tissue typically requires lethal take or invasive sampling techniques, which are undesirable for small-bodied species or those of conservation...
Recovery of Delaware Bay horseshoe crabs following harvest reductions
John A. Sweka, Kristen A. Anstead, David R. Smith, Linda Barry, Jordan Zimmerman, Steve Doctor, Craig Weedon, James Gartland, Yan Jiao, Francesco Ferretti, Eric M. Hallerman
2025, Marine and Coastal Fisheries: Dynamics, Management and Ecosystem Science (17)
ObjectiveHorseshoe crabs Limulus polyphemus play a vital role in the Delaware Bay ecosystem. The migratory stopover of several shorebird species occurs during the horseshoe crab spawning season, and the eggs of horseshoe crabs provide an essential food source to fuel their northward migration to breeding areas. High commercial fishery use of horseshoe...
Seasonal increases in global dryland gross primary production are modulated by root soil moisture and temperature
Lihua Lan, Seth M. Munson, Kailiang Yu, Zhongxiang Fang, Xiuzhi Chen, Weiguang Zhao, Siao Sun, Zhenbo Wang, Fei He, Yuan Liang
2025, Global and Planetary Change (255)
Dryland ecosystems, which are highly sensitive to environmental variability across space and through time, play a critical role in the global carbon cycle. To understand the carbon sink role of drylands, this study used different sources of global dryland gross primary productivity (GPP) and evaluated the spatiotemporal...
Control of a dominant predator influences the occurrence of a mesocarnivore of conservation concern
Kara M. White, Amanda E. Cheeseman, Joshua D. Stafford, Robert Charles Lonsinger
2025, Wildlife Research (52)
ContextInterspecific interactions shape ecological communities, influence community dynamics, and drive co-evolution. Despite their ecological significance, predation and competition remain understudied in plains spotted skunks (Spilogale interrupta), a species of conservation concern. Clarifying how predator management influences their occurrence is crucial for effective conservation.AimsWe investigated how coyote (Canis latrans)...
Lake sturgeon behavioral diversity in the Laurentian Great Lakes: Migratory patterns across populations and habitats
Skye D. Fissette, Charles C. Krueger, Lisa M. O'Connor, Thomas C. Pratt, Daniel A. Isermann, Dan Wilfond, John A. Sweka, Darryl W. Hondorp
2025, Movement Ecology (13)
BackgroundCharacterizing the diversity of migration behaviors from the individual to the population level is essential for understanding how organisms respond to environmental variation and how these responses affect survival and habitat use. Lake sturgeon (Acipenser fulvescens) is a species of special concern in the Laurentian Great Lakes that...
Zircon as a pathfinder to REE mineralization
Ian William Hillenbrand
2025, Geochemical Perspectives Letters (37) 18-23
Carbonatites and alkaline silicate rocks are major primary sources of the rare earth elements (REE) and other critical metals, such as Nb. Despite the economic significance of these rocks, their formation and the processes of REE enrichment are poorly understood. Here, statistical analysis of a global dataset demonstrates that zircon...
Precipitation timing mediates life-stage and population-level associations with climate for an indicator species
Shawn T. O’Neil, Carl Gregory Lundblad, Brianne E. Brussee, John Christopher Tull, Michael L. Casazza, Justin R. Small, Cameron L. Aldridge, Peter S. Coates
2025, Scientific Reports (15)
Global climate change is contributing to declines in biodiversity, although changes vary across geographic regions and species. The iconic greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus; sage-grouse) is central to conservation within the North American sagebrush ecosystem, yet its vulnerability to climate effects remains poorly understood. We used hierarchical models to explore weather...
Greenhouse gas emissions from ditches in oil palm plantations on tropical peatlands in Malaysia
Kuno Kasak, Iryna Dronova, Kaido Soosaar, Lulie Melling, Wong Guan Xhuan, Faustina Sangok, Reti Ranniku, Jorge A. Villa, Sheel Bansal, Michael Peacock, Ülo Mander
2025, Scientific Reports (15)
Tropical peatlands, which store 20% of global peat carbon, are increasingly threatened by conversion to alternative land-uses such as oil palm plantations, pulp wood plantations, crop growth or other economic activities. This transformation involves peatland drainage, which lowers water tables, exposes peat to oxygen, and alters greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions:...
Geochemical evidence for the origin of late Quaternary loess, Seward Peninsula, Alaska
Daniel R. Muhs, Jeffrey S. Pigati
2025, Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research (57)
Loess is the most widespread surficial deposit in the state of Alaska. Although loess of last glacial age is common in mid-continental North America, records of last glacial loess in Alaska have been elusive. Here we report a record of last glacial loess on the Seward Peninsula,...
Mount Spurr volcano, August 18, 1992: The eruption heard around Alaska
Alexandra M. Iezzi, John Power
2025, Bulletin of Volcanology (87)
The August 18, 1992, eruption of Mount Spurr volcano, Alaska, produced an impressive Vulcanian to Subplinian eruption column reaching up to 40 km above sea level that blanketed the nearby city of Anchorage with ash. At the time of the eruption, the Alaska Volcano Observatory received reports of audible sound hundreds...