Early Pliocene (Zanclean) sea surface temperature for PlioMIP3
Harry J. Dowsett, Kevin M. Foley
2026, Global and Planetary Change (259)
Paleoclimate researchers have been comparing Pliocene environmental data to paleoclimate model results since the 1980s. The Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP) began in 2008 with a focus on the Late Pliocene. Here we assess the availability and utility of sea surface temperature (SST) data for verification of...
Compounding of 100-year coastal floods by rainfall in an urban environment
Shima Kasaei, Phillip M. Orton, Thomas Wahl, David K. Ralston, John C. Warner
2026, Environmental Research Letters (21)
Coastal and pluvial flooding are both becoming more prevalent and severe due to climate change and urbanization in floodplains. The co-occurrence of these flood drivers is generally assumed to exacerbate the resulting flood impacts, a result referred to as compound flooding. However, few observational or modeling studies have investigated the...
Coral reef protection may help avert risks to people, property, and economic activity caused by projected reef degradation
Curt D. Storlazzi, Borja Reguero, Kimberly Yates, Kristen Alkins, James B. Shope, Camila Gaido-Lasserre, Theresa Fregoso, Michael W. Beck
2026, Earth's Future (14)
Degradation of coral reefs over the past several decades has caused regional-scale erosion of the shallow seafloor that serves as a protective barrier against coastal hazards along southeast Florida, USA. How future change in coral reefs may affect coastal flooding, however, has been less attended than other factors contributing to...
An integrated mudstone facies classification scheme and revised interpretation of the sedimentologic processes driving carbon burial in the Cenomanian–Turonian Greenhorn Formation, Colorado, U.S.A.
Jason A. Flaum, Katherine L. French, Justin E. Birdwell, Kira K. Timm
2026, Journal of Sedimentary Research (96) 1-23
Standardizing facies descriptions has proven key to integrating interpretations of depositional processes and environments from sedimentologic observations with geochemistry data for mudstone lithologies. Because of their fine-grained nature, high degree of compaction, and heterogeneous composition, standardizing methods for mudstone descriptions has proven difficult, but it is critical...
Quantifying post-fire live tree presence and spatial variation using Sentinel-2 time series
Saba J. Saberi, Phillip J. van Mantgem, Micah C. Wright, Christopher Y.S. Wong, Andrew M. Latimer, Derek J.N. Young
2026, Forest Ecology and Management (605)
Accurate mapping of post-fire surviving trees is important for tracking forest recovery and prioritizing land management decisions. Satellite-based remote sensing is an effective method to assess post-fire forest conditions. Traditionally, differenced satellite-derived burn severity indices are computed by differencing one year pre- and post-fire spectral reflectance values. Differenced...
A review and synthesis of post-wildfire shifts in hydrologic processes and streamflow generation mechanisms
Brian A. Ebel, John C. Hammond, Michelle A. Walvoord, Trevor Fuess Partridge, David M. Rey, Sheila F. Murphy
2026, Environmental Research: Water (1)
Critical water supply watersheds in the western United States (WUS) are impacted by wildfires, with potential negative effects on water quality and quantity. Scientific understanding is currently insufficient to deliver estimates of wildfire consequences for water quantity that are regionally accurate. Regional variability in the directionality and...
Computation of regional groundwater budgets for the Virginia Coastal Plain aquifer system
Jason P. Pope, Alison D. Gordon, Ryan S. Frederiks
2026, Preprint
Computation of detailed groundwater flow budgets for subdivisions of Virginia’s Coastal Plain aquifer system has enabled quantification and more thorough understanding of groundwater flow within this important water resource. A zone budget analysis conducted on previously published groundwater models of the Virginia Coastal Plain and Virginia Eastern Shore shows that...
Low-frequency earthquakes track the motion of a captured slab fragment
David R. Shelly, Amanda M. Thomas, Kathryn Z. Materna, Robert J. Skoumal
2026, Science (391) 294-299
Accurate tectonic models are essential for assessing seismic hazard and fault interactions. However, the plate configuration at the complex Mendocino triple junction, where the San Andreas Fault and the Cascadia subduction zone meet, remains uncertain. We analyzed fault slip associated with a recently identified zone of tectonic tremor and low-frequency...
Ground-motion simulations for the 2024 Mw 4.8 Tewksbury, New Jersey, earthquake
Oliver S. Boyd, Ebru Bozdağ, Haiyang Liam Kehoe, Morgan P. Moschetti
2026, Seismological Research Letters (97) 755-766
Ground-motion simulations of notable earthquakes in the central and eastern United States are limited and typically assume one-dimensional (1D) Earth structure. In this study, we use a three-dimensional (3D) seismic velocity model to better constrain the depth and focal mechanism of the April 5th, 2024, moment magnitude 4.8 Tewksbury earthquake...
More water, more of the time: Spatial changes in flooding over 83 years in the upper Mississippi River floodplain and relationships with streamgage-derived proxies
Molly Van Appledorn, Nathan R. De Jager, Jason J. Rohweder, Marcella Windmuller-Campione, Daniel Griffin
2026, Water Resources Research (62)
The hydrologic regime of the upper Mississippi River (UMR) has become wetter, with greater discharges, longer-lasting high-flow conditions, and seasonal shifts in these patterns over the past several decades. How these changes are expressed spatially as floodplain inundation area, frequency, depth, duration, and timing is not well understood. It is...
The contribution of a surge event to infilling in a barrier-enclosed estuary: Insights from field observations
Sanne M. Vaassen, Karin R. Bryan, Andrew Swales, Joel Carr, Conrad A. Pilditch
2026, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms (51)
Many estuaries worldwide face increasing sediment loading caused by catchment land use change and intensification, creating subsequent adverse effects on estuarine ecosystems. Extreme weather events can disproportionately alter sediment pathways and loading. Although storm-driven sediment exchange has been widely examined at open coasts and inlets, key transport mechanisms within constricted,...
Unveiling a legacy of fish introductions to mountain lakes using historical records and eDNA surveys in a National Park
Samuel J. Brenkman, Jeffrey J. Duda, Rebecca M. McCaffery, Katie E. Kierczynski, Marshal S. Hoy, Trevor J. Kumec, William Baccus, Caren Suzanne Goldberg, Carl O. Ostberg, Steven C. Fradkin
2026, Frontiers in Conservation Science (6)
Across the western United States, introductions of non-native fish into historically fishless mountain lakes have impacted native biota. Understanding the impacts of fish introductions is essential for conservation in Olympic National Park, a Biosphere Reserve. We reconstructed fish plantings using records dating back to 1930, followed by...
The magmatic-hydrothermal system of the Three Sisters volcanic cluster, Oregon, imaged from field gravity measurements
Helene Le Mevel, Nathan Lee Andersen, Annika E. Dechert, Josef Dufek
2026, JGR Solid Earth (131)
From 2019 to 2024, gravity surveys were conducted at the Three Sisters volcanic cluster (TSVC), measuring 246 gravity sites using a spring relative gravimeter. We calculated the residual Bouguer anomaly and identified three main zones with negative anomalies, ranging from −4 to −8 mGal, located southwest and west of South...
Plasticity in the reproductive biology of Yellowstone cutthroat trout Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri in Yellowstone Lake following lake trout Salvelinus namaycush invasion
Michelle A. Briggs, Molly A. Webb, Christopher S. Guy, Todd M. Koel
2026, Journal of Fish Biology (108) 1047-1058
Yellowstone cutthroat trout Oncorhynchus virginalis bouvieri in Yellowstone Lake are the focus of intensive conservation efforts due to the threat of predation by invasive lake trout Salvelinus namaycush. Suppression gillnetting has reduced the abundance of predatory lake trout, and the Yellowstone cutthroat trout population is recovering. Long-term monitoring indicates the size structure of...
Identifying headwater streams across the conterminous United States
Charles R. Lane, Ellen D’Amico, Jay R. Christensen, Heather E. Golden, Frederick Y. Cheng, John C. Hammond, Admin Husic, Kristin L. Jaeger, C. Nathan Jones, Christa A. Kelleher, Li Li, D. Tyler Mahoney, Hilary K. McMillan, Adam N. Price, Roy Sando, Catalina Segura, Erin C. Seybold, Adam S. Ward, Margaret Zimmer
2026, Ecosystems (29)
Headwater streams play critical roles in hydrologic and biogeochemical processes and functions, yet their spatial distribution and land cover context remain poorly understood at continental scales, and no dedicated geospatial dataset exists. Building from a high-resolution conterminous United States (CONUS) hydrography network dataset, we quantified the spatial...
Characterizing the influence of remotely sensed wetland and lake water storage on discharge using LSTM models
Melanie K. Vanderhoof, William Keenan, Wayana Dolan, Heather E. Golden, Charles R. Lane, Jay R. Christensen, Kylen Solvik, Adnan Rajib
2026, Hydrological Sciences Journal (71) 410-436
Globally, many wetlands and lakes are at risk for further loss, which can amplify downstream consequences of flood and drought events. We derived remotely sensed based time series of surface water storage (SWstorage) to determine when and where accounting for SWstorage dynamics improves predictions of river discharge. We...
An entropic explanation for Gutenberg-Richter scaling
Morgan T. Page, Edward H. Field
2026, JGR Solid Earth (131)
We develop a simple explanation for Gutenberg-Richter (G-R) size scaling of earthquakes on a single fault. We discretize the fault and consider all possible contiguous ruptures at that level of discretization. In this static model, we assume that slip scales with rupture length, and that the rupture rates at each...
ENSO and PDO drive shoreline position anomalies in the U.S. Pacific Northwest
Mohsen Taherkhani, Sean Vitousek, Marcan Graffin, Kilian Vos, Jonathan C. Allan, George M. Kaminsky, Peter Ruggiero
2026, PNAS Nexus (5)
Sandy beaches act as buffers against various coastal hazards but are vulnerable to episodic (seasonal) and chronic (interannual) erosion. Understanding the variation of shoreline position, a key metric in coastal morphology, over a spectrum of time scales is therefore crucial in assessing hazard vulnerability. Long-standing research has...
Software to support remote sensing of river discharge based on critical flow theory
Carl J. Legleiter, Inhyeok Bae
2026, River Research and Applications (42) 915-928
Water resource management requires accurate observations of streamflow but standard field methods for measuring river discharge (Q) are costly and can be hazardous for equipment and personnel. Remote sensing has become a viable alternative, but many image-based techniques require field data for calibration and depth and velocity can seldom be...
Performance evaluation and methods comparison of transcriptomic-based approaches for the characterization of wastewater treatment effluent
Adam Biales, M. S. Hu, D. C. Bencic, M. J. See, Susan T. Glassmeyer, E.T. Furlong, Julia M. Stelman, W. Huang, Dana W. Kolpin, Marc A. Mills, L. D. Brunelle, Angela L. Batt, S. Thomas Purucker
2026, Environmental Pollution (392)
Wastewater treatment effluents (WWTE) present complex risks to aquatic ecosystems that are difficult to characterize using traditional methods. This study systematically evaluated the consistency and performance of transcriptomic-based approaches over time with repeated sampling and with differing experimental approaches (selection of reference condition, grab vs. composite sampling, deployed vs. laboratory...
The functional effects of African lions on co-occurring carnivores differ across species pairs and with changes in resource availability and lion abundance
Kristoffer T. Everatt, Leah Andresen, Jennifer F. Moore, James E. Hines, Graham I.H. Kerley
2026, Oecologia (208)
Apex carnivores are known to regulate ecosystem structure and function, including via interactions with syntopic, competitively inferior carnivores. These effects may be dependent on relative carnivore density and resource availability or productivity. We investigated the functional effect of African lions as an apex carnivore on the presence...
21st-century mangrove expansion along the southeastern United States
Lucia I.A. Enes Gramoso, Dustin Carrol, Kyle C. Cavanaugh, Remi Bardou, Michael J. Osland, Tom Van der Stocken
2026, Global Change Biology (32)
Warming winter temperatures are driving range expansion of tropical, cold-sensitive mangroves into temperate ecosystems. Along the Atlantic coast of North America, the mangrove range limit is particularly sensitive to climate variability and historical data demonstrate that the mangrove-salt marsh ecotone on this coast has shifted recurrently during recent centuries. However,...
Status assessment of peregrine falcons in North America using integrated population models
Michael J. Gould, Ted Swem, Guthrie S. Zimmerman, Brian A. Millsap, Jay V. Gedir, Fitsum Abadi
2026, Global Ecology and Conservation (65)
Species status assessments require an understanding of underlying population dynamics and important drivers of species demography. Large-scale assessments can be difficult due to challenges collating data obtained through different methods and different sources at multiple scales. Integrated population models (IPMs) provide a unified framework to combine multiple...
Assessing future hydrologic extremes using an integrated hydrology and river operations model in the Russian River watershed
Saalem Tilahun Adera, Ayman H. Alzraiee, Richard G. Niswonger, Enrique Triana, Derek W. Ryter, John A. Engott
2026, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies (63)
Study regionThe Russian River watershed, situated in coastal, northern California, experiences hydrologic extremes, including periodic droughts and flooding. Water managers are working to maintain sustainable water supplies and environmental flows, while mitigating flood risks.Study focusThis paper...
Magnitude conversion relations create substantial differences in seismic hazard models
Andrea L. Llenos, David R. Shelly, Allison M. Shumway
2026, Seismological Research Letters
Earthquake catalogs are essential data inputs for seismic hazard modeling. Because earthquake magnitudes are reported in a variety of types (e.g., local magnitudes and moment magnitudes), magnitude conversion relationships must be used to convert the different magnitude types present in a catalog to a uniform magnitude type to avoid biases...