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U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1146

Coastal Vulnerability Assessment of the Northern Gulf of Mexico to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Change


List of Figures and Tables

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Figures

Thumbnail image of figure 1, map of the Coastal Vulnerability Index, and link to larger figure.

Figure 1. Map of the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) for the U.S. Gulf Coast as determined by Thieler and Hammar-Klose (2000b). The CVI shows the relative vulnerability of the coast to changes due to future rise in sea level.

Thumbnail image of Figure 2, map of study area, and link to larger figure. Figure 2. The Northern Gulf of Mexico study area, stretching from Galveston, TX, to just beyond Panama City, FL.
Thumbnail image of figure 3, map of geomorphic regions, and link to larger figure. Figure 3. The eight geomorphic regions classified by A. Morang (written communication, January 11, 2010) for the Gulf of Mexico. Image courtesy of Andrew Morang, Engineer Research and Development Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
Thumbnail image of figure 4, coastal geomorphology map, and link to larger figure.

Figure 4. Coastal geomorphology for the Northern Gulf of Mexico. The colored shoreline represents the variations in coastal geomorphology along the coast. The very high vulnerability geomorphology (red) includes barrier islands, saltmarshes, tidal flats, and sand beaches, whereas high- vulnerability areas (orange) include estuaries and lagoons.

Thumbnail image of figure 5, maps of datasets available in the study area, and link to larger figure.

Figure 5. Shoreline change and land-area change datasets available within the Northern Gulf of Mexico study area. A, The Dolan and others (1985) dataset is the most comprehensive and the lowest resolution. It is displayed here as it was categorized by Thieler and Hammar-Kose (2000b). B, The Miller and others (2004) dataset is available for sandy beaches and barriers along the Gulf of Mexico at 50-meter intervals. C, The Martinez and others (2006) dataset is for the Gulf Coast of Louisiana. D, The Barras and others (2008) land-area change data are for Louisiana barriers as well as marsh areas.

Thumbnail image of figure 6, coastal slope map, and link to larger figure. Figure 6. Regional coastal slope for the Northern Gulf of Mexico. The colored shoreline represents the regional slope of the land in a 10-km radius of the shoreline. Very low vulnerability slope areas are along Mobile Bay. Coastal slopes become gentler away from Mobile Bay and thus higher in vulnerability with respect to the Coastal Vulnerability Index ranking scheme (table 2).
Thumbnail image of figure 7, map of relative sea-level change rates, and link to larger figure.

Figure 7. Relative sea-level change rate along the Northern Gulf of Mexico. Eight of the 16 tide gage locations along the U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast fall within the study area and are indicated by black dots.

Thumbnail image of figure 8A, map of vertical movement rates, and link to larger figure. Figure 8A. Vertical movement rate along the Northern Gulf of Mexico (after Ivins and others, 2007). The red dots and x's represent GPS locations.
Thumbnail image of figure 8B, map of vertical movement rates divided into quintiles, and link to larger figure. Figure 8B. Vertical movement rate along the Northern Gulf of Mexico divided into quintiles for Coastal Vulnerability Index variable ranking (table 2).
Thumbnail image of figure 9, map of wave heights, and link to larger figure. Figure 9. Mean significant wave height (meters) along the Northern Gulf of Mexico. The black dots indicate the locations of WIS (Wave Information Studies) wave stations (Hubertz and others, 1996).
Thumbnail image of figure 10, original map of CVI, and link to larger figure. Figure 10. Northern Gulf of Mexico Coastal Vulnerability Index calculated using Dolan and others (1985) shoreline change data and sea-level rise rate from NOS/NOAA water-level gages.
Thumbnail image of figure 11, updated map of CVI, and link to larger figure. Figure 11. Updated data source Coastal Vulnerability Index calculated using Miller and others (2004), and Martinez and others (2006) shoreline change data, Barras and others (2008) land-area change data, and vertical movement data from Ivins and others (2007).
Thumbnail image of figure 12, histogram plot, and link to larger figure. Figure 12. Histogram of percentage of shoreline in each vulnerability category for the two Coastal Vulnerability Index scenarios.

Tables

Table 1. Data sources from the original Gulf of Mexico Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) (Thieler and Hammar-Klose, 2000b) and the updated CVI for the Northern Gulf of Mexico presented here. Data sources with gray backgrounds were not used to calculate the updated CVI.

Table 2. Ranges for vulnerability ranking of variables along the Northern Gulf of Mexico Coast.



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